Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 4 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 4 août ?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$15,004 Vol.
$15,004 Vol.
4 août 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$15,004 Vol.
$15,004 Vol.
4 août 2026
59°F or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$409 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$810 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,334 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,074 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,560 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$3,055 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,965 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$778 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$424 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Volume
$15,004Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,004Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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