Trader consensus heavily favors a 70-71°F minimum in New York City on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for overnight lows near 69-72°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and elevated humidity. These conditions, typical of mid-summer marine-influenced air masses, limit radiational cooling at Central Park while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer readings compared to rural sites. Seasonal outlooks noting above-normal August temperatures provide supporting context, though model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in the immediate forecast. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum recorded at the Central Park station, with any unexpected clear skies or stronger winds the main variables that could shift the outcome slightly lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 5 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 5 août ?
70-71°F 64%
72-73 °F 15%
68-69°F 12%
66-67°F <1%
NOUVEAU
$10,817 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,817 Vol.
5 août 2026
57°F ou moins
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63 °F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
64%
72-73 °F
16%
74-75°F
1%
76°F ou plus
<1%
70-71°F 64%
72-73 °F 15%
68-69°F 12%
66-67°F <1%
NOUVEAU
$10,817 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,817 Vol.
5 août 2026
57°F ou moins
$207 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$362 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$361 Vol.
<1%
62-63 °F
$918 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,150 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$742 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$1,041 Vol.
10%
70-71°F
$1,701 Vol.
64%
72-73 °F
$454 Vol.
16%
74-75°F
$2,645 Vol.
1%
76°F ou plus
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 70-71°F minimum in New York City on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for overnight lows near 69-72°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and elevated humidity. These conditions, typical of mid-summer marine-influenced air masses, limit radiational cooling at Central Park while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer readings compared to rural sites. Seasonal outlooks noting above-normal August temperatures provide supporting context, though model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in the immediate forecast. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum recorded at the Central Park station, with any unexpected clear skies or stronger winds the main variables that could shift the outcome slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$10,817Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 70-71°F minimum in New York City on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for overnight lows near 69-72°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and elevated humidity. These conditions, typical of mid-summer marine-influenced air masses, limit radiational cooling at Central Park while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer readings compared to rural sites. Seasonal outlooks noting above-normal August temperatures provide supporting context, though model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in the immediate forecast. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum recorded at the Central Park station, with any unexpected clear skies or stronger winds the main variables that could shift the outcome slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,817Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 70-71°F minimum in New York City on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for overnight lows near 69-72°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and elevated humidity. These conditions, typical of mid-summer marine-influenced air masses, limit radiational cooling at Central Park while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer readings compared to rural sites. Seasonal outlooks noting above-normal August temperatures provide supporting context, though model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in the immediate forecast. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum recorded at the Central Park station, with any unexpected clear skies or stronger winds the main variables that could shift the outcome slightly lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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