Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 29 août ?
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,970 Vol.
$12,970 Vol.
29 août 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,970 Vol.
$12,970 Vol.
29 août 2026
19°C or below
$712 Vol.
No
20°C
$603 Vol.
No
21°C
$978 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$1,362 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,527 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,003 Vol.
No
25°C
$638 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,624 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,364 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,876 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$1,283 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,970Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,970Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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