Tokyo's August minimum temperatures typically hover near the long-term average of 24°C under the influence of the prevailing subtropical high-pressure system and warm, humid maritime air masses. Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 5, 2026, project a clear-to-cloudy day with a maximum of 30°C and overnight lows aligning with the daily normal minimum of 23.9°C, consistent with recent model consensus from regional guidance. This strong alignment with climatological baselines underpins the market's 99% implied probability for exactly 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected nocturnal cooling event, such as a rapid shift in steering winds or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies than anticipated, though current observational data and ensemble spreads show limited support for deviations below 23°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 5 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 5 août ?
24°C 99.0%
23°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
$10,901 Vol.
$10,901 Vol.
5 août 2026
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 99.0%
23°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
$10,901 Vol.
$10,901 Vol.
5 août 2026
18°C ou moins
$297 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$543 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,968 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,660 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,378 Vol.
99%
25°C
$1,247 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$891 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou plus
$359 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's August minimum temperatures typically hover near the long-term average of 24°C under the influence of the prevailing subtropical high-pressure system and warm, humid maritime air masses. Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 5, 2026, project a clear-to-cloudy day with a maximum of 30°C and overnight lows aligning with the daily normal minimum of 23.9°C, consistent with recent model consensus from regional guidance. This strong alignment with climatological baselines underpins the market's 99% implied probability for exactly 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected nocturnal cooling event, such as a rapid shift in steering winds or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies than anticipated, though current observational data and ensemble spreads show limited support for deviations below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$10,901Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's August minimum temperatures typically hover near the long-term average of 24°C under the influence of the prevailing subtropical high-pressure system and warm, humid maritime air masses. Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 5, 2026, project a clear-to-cloudy day with a maximum of 30°C and overnight lows aligning with the daily normal minimum of 23.9°C, consistent with recent model consensus from regional guidance. This strong alignment with climatological baselines underpins the market's 99% implied probability for exactly 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected nocturnal cooling event, such as a rapid shift in steering winds or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies than anticipated, though current observational data and ensemble spreads show limited support for deviations below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,901Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo's August minimum temperatures typically hover near the long-term average of 24°C under the influence of the prevailing subtropical high-pressure system and warm, humid maritime air masses. Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 5, 2026, project a clear-to-cloudy day with a maximum of 30°C and overnight lows aligning with the daily normal minimum of 23.9°C, consistent with recent model consensus from regional guidance. This strong alignment with climatological baselines underpins the market's 99% implied probability for exactly 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected nocturnal cooling event, such as a rapid shift in steering winds or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies than anticipated, though current observational data and ensemble spreads show limited support for deviations below 23°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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