**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models, indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 5, 2026, most likely in the 20–22°C range.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread light to moderate rain, and northeasterly winds associated with an ongoing unsettled weather pattern are moderating overnight cooling while suppressing daytime highs, keeping the low near or slightly above seasonal norms (historical September average low around 19–22°C). This setup favors 21–22°C as the leading outcomes in the market, with the strong combined probability (over 86%) reflecting model consensus on these values and limited upside potential from clearing skies. Lower probabilities for 23°C or higher align with the rain-cooled air mass, while sub-20°C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 5 septembre ?
22 °C 49%
21°C 38%
23°C 13%
19°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
38%
22 °C
49%
23°C
13%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
22 °C 49%
21°C 38%
23°C 13%
19°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$248 Vol.
5%
21°C
$118 Vol.
38%
22 °C
$58 Vol.
49%
23°C
$39 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models, indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 5, 2026, most likely in the 20–22°C range.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread light to moderate rain, and northeasterly winds associated with an ongoing unsettled weather pattern are moderating overnight cooling while suppressing daytime highs, keeping the low near or slightly above seasonal norms (historical September average low around 19–22°C).
This setup favors 21–22°C as the leading outcomes in the market, with the strong combined probability (over 86%) reflecting model consensus on these values and limited upside potential from clearing skies. Lower probabilities for 23°C or higher align with the rain-cooled air mass, while sub-20°C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$464Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models, indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 5, 2026, most likely in the 20–22°C range.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread light to moderate rain, and northeasterly winds associated with an ongoing unsettled weather pattern are moderating overnight cooling while suppressing daytime highs, keeping the low near or slightly above seasonal norms (historical September average low around 19–22°C).
This setup favors 21–22°C as the leading outcomes in the market, with the strong combined probability (over 86%) reflecting model consensus on these values and limited upside potential from clearing skies. Lower probabilities for 23°C or higher align with the rain-cooled air mass, while sub-20°C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$464Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models, indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 5, 2026, most likely in the 20–22°C range.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread light to moderate rain, and northeasterly winds associated with an ongoing unsettled weather pattern are moderating overnight cooling while suppressing daytime highs, keeping the low near or slightly above seasonal norms (historical September average low around 19–22°C). This setup favors 21–22°C as the leading outcomes in the market, with the strong combined probability (over 86%) reflecting model consensus on these values and limited upside potential from clearing skies. Lower probabilities for 23°C or higher align with the rain-cooled air mass, while sub-20°C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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