**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Wellington on September 14, 2026, reflects tight uncertainty around official forecasts showing a minimum near 7–9°C (roughly 45–48°F), with the market split between a potential sharp radiative cooling event below 4°C and a more moderate outcome around 8°C.** A ridge of high pressure over northern New Zealand is delivering stable, mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling under clear skies. However, Wellington’s coastal and hilly topography, combined with developing northerlies (forecast 5–15 mph), introduces variability that can limit how low temperatures drop by limiting calm, clear periods. Model consensus from sources like MetService, WeatherBug, and the Met Office points to an overnight low near 7–8°C, consistent with typical early-spring September minima in the region under similar high-pressure setups. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud cover timing, wind speed (stronger flow raises the floor), and localized effects in the central city versus suburbs. With resolution imminent and limited new data expected before the minimum occurs, the near-even odds capture genuine forecast spread rather than strong directional conviction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wellington le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wellington le 14 septembre ?
4°C ou moins 96%
7°C 50%
6°C 47%
5°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
4°C ou moins
96%
5°C
18%
6°C
47%
7°C
50%
8°C
50%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C ou plus
<1%
4°C ou moins 96%
7°C 50%
6°C 47%
5°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
4°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
96%
5°C
$0 Vol.
18%
6°C
$40 Vol.
47%
7°C
$10 Vol.
50%
8°C
$5 Vol.
50%
9°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$700 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C ou plus
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Wellington on September 14, 2026, reflects tight uncertainty around official forecasts showing a minimum near 7–9°C (roughly 45–48°F), with the market split between a potential sharp radiative cooling event below 4°C and a more moderate outcome around 8°C.**
A ridge of high pressure over northern New Zealand is delivering stable, mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling under clear skies. However, Wellington’s coastal and hilly topography, combined with developing northerlies (forecast 5–15 mph), introduces variability that can limit how low temperatures drop by limiting calm, clear periods.
Model consensus from sources like MetService, WeatherBug, and the Met Office points to an overnight low near 7–8°C, consistent with typical early-spring September minima in the region under similar high-pressure setups. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud cover timing, wind speed (stronger flow raises the floor), and localized effects in the central city versus suburbs. With resolution imminent and limited new data expected before the minimum occurs, the near-even odds capture genuine forecast spread rather than strong directional conviction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,206Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Wellington on September 14, 2026, reflects tight uncertainty around official forecasts showing a minimum near 7–9°C (roughly 45–48°F), with the market split between a potential sharp radiative cooling event below 4°C and a more moderate outcome around 8°C.**
A ridge of high pressure over northern New Zealand is delivering stable, mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling under clear skies. However, Wellington’s coastal and hilly topography, combined with developing northerlies (forecast 5–15 mph), introduces variability that can limit how low temperatures drop by limiting calm, clear periods.
Model consensus from sources like MetService, WeatherBug, and the Met Office points to an overnight low near 7–8°C, consistent with typical early-spring September minima in the region under similar high-pressure setups. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud cover timing, wind speed (stronger flow raises the floor), and localized effects in the central city versus suburbs. With resolution imminent and limited new data expected before the minimum occurs, the near-even odds capture genuine forecast spread rather than strong directional conviction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,206Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Wellington on September 14, 2026, reflects tight uncertainty around official forecasts showing a minimum near 7–9°C (roughly 45–48°F), with the market split between a potential sharp radiative cooling event below 4°C and a more moderate outcome around 8°C.** A ridge of high pressure over northern New Zealand is delivering stable, mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling under clear skies. However, Wellington’s coastal and hilly topography, combined with developing northerlies (forecast 5–15 mph), introduces variability that can limit how low temperatures drop by limiting calm, clear periods. Model consensus from sources like MetService, WeatherBug, and the Met Office points to an overnight low near 7–8°C, consistent with typical early-spring September minima in the region under similar high-pressure setups. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud cover timing, wind speed (stronger flow raises the floor), and localized effects in the central city versus suburbs. With resolution imminent and limited new data expected before the minimum occurs, the near-even odds capture genuine forecast spread rather than strong directional conviction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes