Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Zhengzhou's overnight low stabilizing near 24°C amid cooling northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, with hourly readings and model consensus confirming this threshold rather than a deeper drop to 22–23°C. The market-implied 100% probability on 24°C reflects trader alignment with real-time surface data and regional guidance projecting minimal further cooling before sunrise on August 28. This positioning draws from established climatological patterns for late-August transitions in the North China Plain, where cold-air advection typically yields lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C. A modest revision in final verified minimums from the local station or an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling episode could still alter the recorded value.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Zhengzhou le 27 août ?
La température la plus basse à Zhengzhou le 27 août ?
24°C 100.0%
22°C 1.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
$3,483 Vol.
$3,483 Vol.
27 août 2026
15°C ou moins
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C ou plus
Non
24°C 100.0%
22°C 1.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
$3,483 Vol.
$3,483 Vol.
27 août 2026
15°C ou moins
$158 Vol.
Non
16°C
$69 Vol.
Non
17°C
$158 Vol.
Non
18°C
$119 Vol.
Non
19°C
$65 Vol.
Non
20°C
$142 Vol.
Non
21°C
$132 Vol.
Non
22°C
$100 Vol.
Non
23°C
$921 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,523 Vol.
Oui
25°C ou plus
$96 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Zhengzhou's overnight low stabilizing near 24°C amid cooling northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, with hourly readings and model consensus confirming this threshold rather than a deeper drop to 22–23°C. The market-implied 100% probability on 24°C reflects trader alignment with real-time surface data and regional guidance projecting minimal further cooling before sunrise on August 28. This positioning draws from established climatological patterns for late-August transitions in the North China Plain, where cold-air advection typically yields lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C. A modest revision in final verified minimums from the local station or an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling episode could still alter the recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,483Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Zhengzhou's overnight low stabilizing near 24°C amid cooling northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, with hourly readings and model consensus confirming this threshold rather than a deeper drop to 22–23°C. The market-implied 100% probability on 24°C reflects trader alignment with real-time surface data and regional guidance projecting minimal further cooling before sunrise on August 28. This positioning draws from established climatological patterns for late-August transitions in the North China Plain, where cold-air advection typically yields lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C. A modest revision in final verified minimums from the local station or an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling episode could still alter the recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,483Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Zhengzhou's overnight low stabilizing near 24°C amid cooling northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, with hourly readings and model consensus confirming this threshold rather than a deeper drop to 22–23°C. The market-implied 100% probability on 24°C reflects trader alignment with real-time surface data and regional guidance projecting minimal further cooling before sunrise on August 28. This positioning draws from established climatological patterns for late-August transitions in the North China Plain, where cold-air advection typically yields lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C. A modest revision in final verified minimums from the local station or an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling episode could still alter the recorded value.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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