Lyntris, a newly formed defense technology company combining Accelint and Vitesse under Trive Capital ownership, filed its S-1/A on August 10, 2026, pricing 24 million shares at $19–$22 to target a market capitalization up to $2.53 billion. With trailing twelve-month revenue of approximately $451 million and a modest net loss, the implied valuation reflects strong institutional demand for defense listings amid elevated geopolitical spending. The closely contested Polymarket odds—37% for a $2.5–3 billion close and 33% for $2–2.5 billion—highlight uncertainty around final pricing, share allocation between the company and selling shareholders, and post-IPO trading momentum relative to the filing range. Key swing factors include order book strength ahead of the NYSE debut under ticker LYNX and any revisions to the $492 million midpoint raise, with the no-IPO-before-October outcome priced at just 1.1%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2,5 Md$ – 3 Md$ 37%
2 à 2,5 milliards de dollars 33%
3-3,5 milliards de dollars 8%
<2 milliards $ 7%
$10,651 Vol.
$10,651 Vol.
<2 milliards $
7%
2 à 2,5 milliards de dollars
33%
2,5 Md$ – 3 Md$
37%
3-3,5 milliards de dollars
8%
3,5 G$-4 G$
5%
4 milliards $+
5%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant octobre 2026
1%
2,5 Md$ – 3 Md$ 37%
2 à 2,5 milliards de dollars 33%
3-3,5 milliards de dollars 8%
<2 milliards $ 7%
$10,651 Vol.
$10,651 Vol.
<2 milliards $
7%
2 à 2,5 milliards de dollars
33%
2,5 Md$ – 3 Md$
37%
3-3,5 milliards de dollars
8%
3,5 G$-4 G$
5%
4 milliards $+
5%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant octobre 2026
1%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 9:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lyntris, a newly formed defense technology company combining Accelint and Vitesse under Trive Capital ownership, filed its S-1/A on August 10, 2026, pricing 24 million shares at $19–$22 to target a market capitalization up to $2.53 billion. With trailing twelve-month revenue of approximately $451 million and a modest net loss, the implied valuation reflects strong institutional demand for defense listings amid elevated geopolitical spending. The closely contested Polymarket odds—37% for a $2.5–3 billion close and 33% for $2–2.5 billion—highlight uncertainty around final pricing, share allocation between the company and selling shareholders, and post-IPO trading momentum relative to the filing range. Key swing factors include order book strength ahead of the NYSE debut under ticker LYNX and any revisions to the $492 million midpoint raise, with the no-IPO-before-October outcome priced at just 1.1%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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