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icon for Élections parlementaires serbes appelées avant 2027 ?

Élections parlementaires serbes appelées avant 2027 ?

icon for Élections parlementaires serbes appelées avant 2027 ?

Élections parlementaires serbes appelées avant 2027 ?

Oui

98% chance
Polymarket

$43,434 Vol.

Oui

98% chance
Polymarket

$43,434 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early parliamentary elections later that year has driven the high implied probability for a vote before 2027.** Persistent student-led protests, sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse that killed 16 people, have sustained pressure for snap elections and greater accountability since late 2024. Vučić subsequently named October 18 or 25, 2026, as the likely dates, with recent reports confirming preparations for a 25 October poll, including expected dissolution of the National Assembly in the coming days. This aligns with Serbia’s pattern of early parliamentary votes under the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) since 2012 and precedes the originally scheduled end-2027 mandate. The consensus reflects these confirmed procedural steps and public statements rather than speculation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,434
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early parliamentary elections later that year has driven the high implied probability for a vote before 2027.** Persistent student-led protests, sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse that killed 16 people, have sustained pressure for snap elections and greater accountability since late 2024. Vučić subsequently named October 18 or 25, 2026, as the likely dates, with recent reports confirming preparations for a 25 October poll, including expected dissolution of the National Assembly in the coming days. This aligns with Serbia’s pattern of early parliamentary votes under the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) since 2012 and precedes the originally scheduled end-2027 mandate. The consensus reflects these confirmed procedural steps and public statements rather than speculation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,434
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Vladan Đokić remportera-t-il la prochaine élection présidentielle en Serbie ?

Vladan Đokić remportera-t-il la prochaine élection présidentielle en Serbie ?

21%
Oui
icon for Élection française convoquée d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

Élection française convoquée d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

5%
Oui
icon for Une autre élection au Canada convoquée d’ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

Une autre élection au Canada convoquée d’ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

5%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élections parlementaires serbes appelées avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Élections parlementaires serbes convoquées avant 2027 ? » à 92%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 92¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élections parlementaires serbes appelées avant 2027 ? » a généré $43.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élections parlementaires serbes appelées avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élections parlementaires serbes appelées avant 2027 ? » est « Élections parlementaires serbes convoquées avant 2027 ? » à 92%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élections parlementaires serbes appelées avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.