Traders assign near-certain probability against confirmation of any U.S. kamikaze dolphins program by May 31 because no official statements, Department of Defense announcements, congressional briefings, or credible intelligence reporting have surfaced to indicate such a capability exists or is under active development. Military animal programs historically require extended procurement, training, and oversight timelines that cannot be completed or publicly validated in the remaining window, and no primary-source evidence supports rapid advancement. With only two weeks left, the absence of leaks, budget allocations, or interagency coordination further reinforces the consensus. Late developments such as an unexpected declassification, whistleblower disclosure, or abrupt executive directive could still shift odds, though these remain low-probability events given institutional constraints on sensitive defense matters.