Vice President JD Vance has led recent U.S. delegations in direct negotiations with Iranian officials in Islamabad, Pakistan, as part of efforts to address the nuclear program, regional security, and an ongoing ceasefire. Marathon sessions in April produced substantive exchanges but no final agreement, with Vance citing Iran's unwillingness to meet core U.S. demands on nuclear weapons. As of May 13, Vance stated that progress continues in ongoing talks despite President Trump's rejection of Tehran's latest proposal and his stated red lines. Further rounds remain possible before key deadlines, though outcomes hinge on diplomatic flexibility, verification mechanisms, and external pressures from Israel and Arab states.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$109,840 Vol.
15 mai 2026
May 15
<1%
May 31
13%
June 30
30%
$109,840 Vol.
May 15
$55,526 Vol.
<1%
May 31
$47,240 Vol.
13%
June 30
$7,074 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has led recent U.S. delegations in direct negotiations with Iranian officials in Islamabad, Pakistan, as part of efforts to address the nuclear program, regional security, and an ongoing ceasefire. Marathon sessions in April produced substantive exchanges but no final agreement, with Vance citing Iran's unwillingness to meet core U.S. demands on nuclear weapons. As of May 13, Vance stated that progress continues in ongoing talks despite President Trump's rejection of Tehran's latest proposal and his stated red lines. Further rounds remain possible before key deadlines, though outcomes hinge on diplomatic flexibility, verification mechanisms, and external pressures from Israel and Arab states.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$109,840Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has led recent U.S. delegations in direct negotiations with Iranian officials in Islamabad, Pakistan, as part of efforts to address the nuclear program, regional security, and an ongoing ceasefire. Marathon sessions in April produced substantive exchanges but no final agreement, with Vance citing Iran's unwillingness to meet core U.S. demands on nuclear weapons. As of May 13, Vance stated that progress continues in ongoing talks despite President Trump's rejection of Tehran's latest proposal and his stated red lines. Further rounds remain possible before key deadlines, though outcomes hinge on diplomatic flexibility, verification mechanisms, and external pressures from Israel and Arab states.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$109,840Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has led recent U.S. delegations in direct negotiations with Iranian officials in Islamabad, Pakistan, as part of efforts to address the nuclear program, regional security, and an ongoing ceasefire. Marathon sessions in April produced substantive exchanges but no final agreement, with Vance citing Iran's unwillingness to meet core U.S. demands on nuclear weapons. As of May 13, Vance stated that progress continues in ongoing talks despite President Trump's rejection of Tehran's latest proposal and his stated red lines. Further rounds remain possible before key deadlines, though outcomes hinge on diplomatic flexibility, verification mechanisms, and external pressures from Israel and Arab states.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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