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Politique·FED

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Politique·FED

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

juil. 29

juil. 29

NOUVEAU

$16,147 Vol.

29 juil. 2026
Polymarket

$16,147 Vol.

Polymarket

Inflation 40+ times

$106 Vol.

51%

Inflation 20+ times

$365 Vol.

88%

Task Force 20+ times

$626 Vol.

55%

Good day

$1,183 Vol.

76%

Groupthink / Group think

$1,014 Vol.

39%

Independence

$10 Vol.

66%

Echo of History

$531 Vol.

47%

Supply shock

$0 Vol.

64%

North Star

$485 Vol.

12%

Predecessor

$0 Vol.

22%

Bet / Betting

$478 Vol.

53%

Trump

$795 Vol.

8%

Balance Sheet

$54 Vol.

82%

Central Bank

$1,102 Vol.

82%

Productivity

$1,141 Vol.

81%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$180 Vol.

82%

Shock

$20 Vol.

65%

Oil

$865 Vol.

70%

Uncertainty

$96 Vol.

65%

Restrictive

$20 Vol.

64%

Projection

$20 Vol.

63%

President

$897 Vol.

53%

Dollar

$25 Vol.

37%

Anchor / Anchored

$43 Vol.

34%

Recession

$0 Vol.

24%

Consumer Confidence

$1,011 Vol.

11%

Iran

$528 Vol.

21%

Tax

$0 Vol.

21%

Crypto / Cryptocurrency

$0 Vol.

14%

Dissent

$543 Vol.

15%

Pandemic

$590 Vol.

15%

Renovation

$470 Vol.

6%

Good Afternoon

$2,015 Vol.

14%

-No Qualifying Event-

$934 Vol.

3%

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s recent semiannual testimony underscored a hawkish tilt, stressing “no tolerance” for elevated inflation, a potential policy “regime change,” and the Fed’s independence from political pressure amid questions about Trump administration influence. Traders are monitoring how these themes translate into July communications, particularly any signals on rate path adjustments given sticky CPI readings, resilient labor market data, and the balance sheet trajectory. Upcoming FOMC decisions and fresh inflation or payrolls releases could shift market-implied odds by clarifying whether Warsh maintains his data-dependent stance or leans toward earlier tightening. His emphasis on AI-driven investment and streamlined regulation also frames expectations for forward guidance.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$16,147
Date de fin
29 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s recent semiannual testimony underscored a hawkish tilt, stressing “no tolerance” for elevated inflation, a potential policy “regime change,” and the Fed’s independence from political pressure amid questions about Trump administration influence. Traders are monitoring how these themes translate into July communications, particularly any signals on rate path adjustments given sticky CPI readings, resilient labor market data, and the balance sheet trajectory. Upcoming FOMC decisions and fresh inflation or payrolls releases could shift market-implied odds by clarifying whether Warsh maintains his data-dependent stance or leans toward earlier tightening. His emphasis on AI-driven investment and streamlined regulation also frames expectations for forward guidance.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$16,147
Date de fin
29 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Questions fréquentes

« What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 34 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Inflation 20+ times » à 88%, suivi de « Balance Sheet » à 82%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 88¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 88% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference? » a généré $16.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference? », parcourez les 34 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference? » est « Inflation 20+ times » à 88%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 88% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Balance Sheet » à 82%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.