Recent reports of SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, with targets exceeding $1.75 trillion and potential capital raises of $50–75 billion, have anchored trader sentiment around the 1.75–2.00T bracket. This positioning reflects Starlink’s subscriber growth and Starship development milestones, which support elevated revenue multiples relative to 2025 estimates, while private valuations climbed from $800 billion in late 2025. Market-implied odds price in these catalysts amid broader risk appetite for high-growth space and satellite assets, though regulatory timelines and execution risks could still shift outcomes before listing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1,75-2,00 T 61%
2,25-2,50 T 7.7%
2,00-2,25 T 8%
2,50 T+ 5.1%
$133,671 Vol.
$133,671 Vol.
<1,25T
1%
1,25-1,50T
4%
1,50-1,75 T
21%
1,75-2,00 T
59%
2,00-2,25 T
8%
2,25-2,50 T
8%
2,50 T+
5%
1,75-2,00 T 61%
2,25-2,50 T 7.7%
2,00-2,25 T 8%
2,50 T+ 5.1%
$133,671 Vol.
$133,671 Vol.
<1,25T
1%
1,25-1,50T
4%
1,50-1,75 T
21%
1,75-2,00 T
59%
2,00-2,25 T
8%
2,25-2,50 T
8%
2,50 T+
5%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, with targets exceeding $1.75 trillion and potential capital raises of $50–75 billion, have anchored trader sentiment around the 1.75–2.00T bracket. This positioning reflects Starlink’s subscriber growth and Starship development milestones, which support elevated revenue multiples relative to 2025 estimates, while private valuations climbed from $800 billion in late 2025. Market-implied odds price in these catalysts amid broader risk appetite for high-growth space and satellite assets, though regulatory timelines and execution risks could still shift outcomes before listing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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