SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at $1.75–2 trillion-plus have driven the 59% market-implied odds for the $1.75–2.00 trillion bin, reflecting strong trader consensus around the company’s fundraising ambitions of up to $75 billion. This pricing incorporates Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and cash-flow contribution alongside synergies from the xAI merger, which together support elevated multiples near 90–100 times estimated 2025 revenue. Analyst ranges from $1.1–1.7 trillion provide a floor, while Starship progress and upcoming roadshow milestones represent the primary swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the 17% odds on the $2.00–2.25 trillion outcome before listing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1,75-2,00 T 61%
2,25-2,50 T 7.7%
2,50 T+ 5.5%
1,50-1,75 T 5.0%
$133,671 Vol.
$133,671 Vol.
<1,25T
1%
1,25-1,50T
4%
1,50-1,75 T
21%
1,75-2,00 T
59%
2,00-2,25 T
23%
2,25-2,50 T
8%
2,50 T+
5%
1,75-2,00 T 61%
2,25-2,50 T 7.7%
2,50 T+ 5.5%
1,50-1,75 T 5.0%
$133,671 Vol.
$133,671 Vol.
<1,25T
$60,323 Vol.
1%
1,25-1,50T
$16,039 Vol.
4%
1,50-1,75 T
$9,240 Vol.
21%
1,75-2,00 T
$12,949 Vol.
59%
2,00-2,25 T
$14,286 Vol.
23%
2,25-2,50 T
$10,055 Vol.
8%
2,50 T+
$10,779 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at $1.75–2 trillion-plus have driven the 59% market-implied odds for the $1.75–2.00 trillion bin, reflecting strong trader consensus around the company’s fundraising ambitions of up to $75 billion. This pricing incorporates Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and cash-flow contribution alongside synergies from the xAI merger, which together support elevated multiples near 90–100 times estimated 2025 revenue. Analyst ranges from $1.1–1.7 trillion provide a floor, while Starship progress and upcoming roadshow milestones represent the primary swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the 17% odds on the $2.00–2.25 trillion outcome before listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$133,671Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at $1.75–2 trillion-plus have driven the 59% market-implied odds for the $1.75–2.00 trillion bin, reflecting strong trader consensus around the company’s fundraising ambitions of up to $75 billion. This pricing incorporates Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and cash-flow contribution alongside synergies from the xAI merger, which together support elevated multiples near 90–100 times estimated 2025 revenue. Analyst ranges from $1.1–1.7 trillion provide a floor, while Starship progress and upcoming roadshow milestones represent the primary swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the 17% odds on the $2.00–2.25 trillion outcome before listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$133,671Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at $1.75–2 trillion-plus have driven the 59% market-implied odds for the $1.75–2.00 trillion bin, reflecting strong trader consensus around the company’s fundraising ambitions of up to $75 billion. This pricing incorporates Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and cash-flow contribution alongside synergies from the xAI merger, which together support elevated multiples near 90–100 times estimated 2025 revenue. Analyst ranges from $1.1–1.7 trillion provide a floor, while Starship progress and upcoming roadshow milestones represent the primary swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the 17% odds on the $2.00–2.25 trillion outcome before listing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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