Forecasters from the National Weather Service and NOAA are tracking a low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary expected to influence precipitation patterns across parts of the eastern and central United States on September 1. Latest runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show moderate agreement on scattered showers and thunderstorms, with higher probabilities along coastal zones due to enhanced moisture transport and lift, while inland areas remain more uncertain depending on the exact steering flow. Historical climatology for early September indicates typical convective activity in these regions, but short-range model consensus and any revisions in the next 12–24 hours from official briefings will be the key drivers shifting market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù va-t-il pleuvoir le 1er septembre ?
New York, NY
87%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
65%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphie, PA
85%
Denver, CO
31%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
70%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
86%
La Nouvelle-Orléans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$0.00 Vol.
New York, NY
87%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
65%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphie, PA
85%
Denver, CO
31%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
70%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
86%
La Nouvelle-Orléans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Source de résolution
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Forecasters from the National Weather Service and NOAA are tracking a low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary expected to influence precipitation patterns across parts of the eastern and central United States on September 1. Latest runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show moderate agreement on scattered showers and thunderstorms, with higher probabilities along coastal zones due to enhanced moisture transport and lift, while inland areas remain more uncertain depending on the exact steering flow. Historical climatology for early September indicates typical convective activity in these regions, but short-range model consensus and any revisions in the next 12–24 hours from official briefings will be the key drivers shifting market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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