Traders have overwhelmingly backed OpenAI at 99 percent implied probability for second-highest AI revenue this week, driven by its unmatched scale in large language model deployments and enterprise API usage. OpenAI’s ChatGPT platform continues generating steady subscription and usage-based income that dwarfs most rivals, supported by recent model refinements and expanded commercial integrations. This positioning mirrors established industry benchmarks showing OpenAI’s consistent lead in monetization metrics over the past month. A sudden undisclosed surge in Google’s or Anthropic’s reported figures remains theoretically possible but would require exceptional weekly growth that current public data and historical patterns make unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOpenAI 99.0%
Google <1%
Anthropic <1%
Xiaomi <1%
$28,135 Vol.
$28,135 Vol.
OpenAI
99%
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
OpenAI 99.0%
Google <1%
Anthropic <1%
Xiaomi <1%
$28,135 Vol.
$28,135 Vol.
OpenAI
99%
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Marché ouvert : May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have overwhelmingly backed OpenAI at 99 percent implied probability for second-highest AI revenue this week, driven by its unmatched scale in large language model deployments and enterprise API usage. OpenAI’s ChatGPT platform continues generating steady subscription and usage-based income that dwarfs most rivals, supported by recent model refinements and expanded commercial integrations. This positioning mirrors established industry benchmarks showing OpenAI’s consistent lead in monetization metrics over the past month. A sudden undisclosed surge in Google’s or Anthropic’s reported figures remains theoretically possible but would require exceptional weekly growth that current public data and historical patterns make unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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