The market reflects a fragmented field for President-elect Trump's Director of National Intelligence selection, with no single contender above 15% implied probability and the leading outcome at 26.7% for no announcement by December 31. Multiple names remain in play as the transition team weighs candidates with intelligence community experience or congressional backgrounds against priorities like institutional reform and Senate confirmation prospects. John Ratcliffe's prior DNI tenure, Elise Stefanik's House leadership role, and other listed options each carry distinct advantages in loyalty alignment or procedural feasibility, yet lack decisive momentum. Consolidation behind one outcome would likely require public signals from Trump, transition announcements, or shifts in Senate dynamics that clarify the path to confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWho will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
No announcement by December 31 26.8%
Aaron Lukas 12%
Elise Stefanik 12%
John Ratcliffe 8.1%
$79,495 Vol.
$79,495 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
No announcement by December 31
27%
Aaron Lukas
12%
Elise Stefanik
12%
John Ratcliffe
14%
Michael Ellis
8%
Devin Nunes
7%
Chris Stewart
6%
Tom Cotton
6%
Mike Flynn
5%
Richard Grenell
7%
John Eisenberg
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
4%
Sebastian Gorka
4%
Derek Harvey
4%
Stephen Miller
3%
Robert O’Brien
3%
Kash Patel
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
Stacey Dixon
<1%
No announcement by December 31 26.8%
Aaron Lukas 12%
Elise Stefanik 12%
John Ratcliffe 8.1%
$79,495 Vol.
$79,495 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
No announcement by December 31
$18,955 Vol.
27%
Aaron Lukas
$16,810 Vol.
12%
Elise Stefanik
$14,189 Vol.
12%
John Ratcliffe
$324 Vol.
14%
Michael Ellis
$1,597 Vol.
8%
Devin Nunes
$8,795 Vol.
7%
Chris Stewart
$314 Vol.
6%
Tom Cotton
$8,602 Vol.
6%
Mike Flynn
$238 Vol.
5%
Richard Grenell
$7,972 Vol.
7%
John Eisenberg
$156 Vol.
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
$174 Vol.
4%
Sebastian Gorka
$148 Vol.
4%
Derek Harvey
$254 Vol.
4%
Stephen Miller
$130 Vol.
3%
Robert O’Brien
$164 Vol.
3%
Kash Patel
$238 Vol.
<1%
Mike Waltz
$158 Vol.
<1%
Stacey Dixon
$274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market reflects a fragmented field for President-elect Trump's Director of National Intelligence selection, with no single contender above 15% implied probability and the leading outcome at 26.7% for no announcement by December 31. Multiple names remain in play as the transition team weighs candidates with intelligence community experience or congressional backgrounds against priorities like institutional reform and Senate confirmation prospects. John Ratcliffe's prior DNI tenure, Elise Stefanik's House leadership role, and other listed options each carry distinct advantages in loyalty alignment or procedural feasibility, yet lack decisive momentum. Consolidation behind one outcome would likely require public signals from Trump, transition announcements, or shifts in Senate dynamics that clarify the path to confirmation.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$79,495Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market reflects a fragmented field for President-elect Trump's Director of National Intelligence selection, with no single contender above 15% implied probability and the leading outcome at 26.7% for no announcement by December 31. Multiple names remain in play as the transition team weighs candidates with intelligence community experience or congressional backgrounds against priorities like institutional reform and Senate confirmation prospects. John Ratcliffe's prior DNI tenure, Elise Stefanik's House leadership role, and other listed options each carry distinct advantages in loyalty alignment or procedural feasibility, yet lack decisive momentum. Consolidation behind one outcome would likely require public signals from Trump, transition announcements, or shifts in Senate dynamics that clarify the path to confirmation.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$79,495Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market reflects a fragmented field for President-elect Trump's Director of National Intelligence selection, with no single contender above 15% implied probability and the leading outcome at 26.7% for no announcement by December 31. Multiple names remain in play as the transition team weighs candidates with intelligence community experience or congressional backgrounds against priorities like institutional reform and Senate confirmation prospects. John Ratcliffe's prior DNI tenure, Elise Stefanik's House leadership role, and other listed options each carry distinct advantages in loyalty alignment or procedural feasibility, yet lack decisive momentum. Consolidation behind one outcome would likely require public signals from Trump, transition announcements, or shifts in Senate dynamics that clarify the path to confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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