Legal systems do not currently recognize artificial intelligence systems as entities capable of criminal liability, with responsibility instead assigned to developers, companies, or operators under existing laws. This underpins the 92% implied probability traders assign to "No," reinforced by ongoing regulatory efforts like the EU AI Act and U.S. executive orders that target human oversight and model governance rather than granting AI personhood. No precedent exists for charging an AI directly, and capability demonstrations remain tied to human-controlled large language models. A sudden shift could occur if an autonomous agent causes major harm and courts adopt novel legal theories, though such changes typically require years of legislative and judicial process.