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icon for Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ?
Tech·Apple

Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ?

icon for Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ?
Tech·Apple

Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ?

$482,894 Vol.

30 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$482,894 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 9 septembre

9 septembre

$2,009 Vol.

2%

icon for 10 septembre

10 septembre

$16,762 Vol.

1%

icon for 15 septembre

15 septembre

$6,573 Vol.

20%

icon for 30 septembre

30 septembre

$8,917 Vol.

34%

icon for 31 décembre

31 décembre

$448,633 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst consensus from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple’s first foldable iPhone, possibly branded iPhone Ultra, remains on track for announcement at the September 9, 2026 “Surprise and Shine” event alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. Manufacturing validation for the book-style hinge and display has advanced past earlier snags, though initial supply may stay limited. This positions Apple to enter a competitive landscape already led by Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold series and Google’s Pixel Fold devices. Traders weigh the risk of a short delay to early 2027 sales against the strong historical precedent of fall launches, with the market-implied odds reflecting near-term resolution tied to the upcoming keynote and any last-minute production updates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$482,894
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst consensus from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple’s first foldable iPhone, possibly branded iPhone Ultra, remains on track for announcement at the September 9, 2026 “Surprise and Shine” event alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. Manufacturing validation for the book-style hinge and display has advanced past earlier snags, though initial supply may stay limited. This positions Apple to enter a competitive landscape already led by Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold series and Google’s Pixel Fold devices. Traders weigh the risk of a short delay to early 2027 sales against the strong historical precedent of fall launches, with the market-implied odds reflecting near-term resolution tied to the upcoming keynote and any last-minute production updates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$482,894
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

Connexes

icon for Apple annonce-t-il un iPhone pliable lors de l'événement « Surprise and Shine » ?

Apple annonce-t-il un iPhone pliable lors de l'événement « Surprise and Shine » ?

97%
Oui
icon for Apple va-t-il sortir l'iPhone 18 en 2026 ?

Apple va-t-il sortir l'iPhone 18 en 2026 ?

99%
Oui
icon for Le premier prix annoncé de l’iPhone pliable sera-t-il d’au moins 1 800 $ ?

Le premier prix annoncé de l’iPhone pliable sera-t-il d’au moins 1 800 $ ?

94%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 94%, suivi de « 30 septembre » à 34%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 94¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? » a généré $482.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 12, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? » est « 31 décembre » à 94%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30 septembre » à 34%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.