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icon for Le Royaume-Uni désignera-t-il le CGRI comme une organisation terroriste d'ici le 30 juin ?

Le Royaume-Uni désignera-t-il le CGRI comme une organisation terroriste d'ici le 30 juin ?

icon for Le Royaume-Uni désignera-t-il le CGRI comme une organisation terroriste d'ici le 30 juin ?

Le Royaume-Uni désignera-t-il le CGRI comme une organisation terroriste d'ici le 30 juin ?

Oui

4% chance
Polymarket

$97,499 Vol.

Oui

4% chance
Polymarket

$97,499 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.UK government statements and parliamentary records show no active process underway for designating the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps under the Terrorism Act 2000 by the end of June, with officials repeatedly citing legal and procedural hurdles that have delayed similar actions despite pressure from allies and domestic groups. The National Security (State Threats) Bill, introduced on 9 June 2026 to create new designation powers for state-linked entities, remains in early legislative stages and is not expected to enable immediate proscription. Trader consensus at 95.7% on no designation by 30 June reflects the time required for parliamentary scrutiny, committee review, and royal assent. Late developments such as a major security incident tied directly to the IRGC or an accelerated all-party agreement could still shift the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
Volume
$97,499
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.UK government statements and parliamentary records show no active process underway for designating the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps under the Terrorism Act 2000 by the end of June, with officials repeatedly citing legal and procedural hurdles that have delayed similar actions despite pressure from allies and domestic groups. The National Security (State Threats) Bill, introduced on 9 June 2026 to create new designation powers for state-linked entities, remains in early legislative stages and is not expected to enable immediate proscription. Trader consensus at 95.7% on no designation by 30 June reflects the time required for parliamentary scrutiny, committee review, and royal assent. Late developments such as a major security incident tied directly to the IRGC or an accelerated all-party agreement could still shift the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
Volume
$97,499
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.

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Questions fréquentes

« Le Royaume-Uni désignera-t-il le CGRI comme une organisation terroriste d'ici le 30 juin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Le Royaume-Uni désignera-t-il le CGRI comme organisation terroriste d'ici le 30 juin ? » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 4¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 4% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le Royaume-Uni désignera-t-il le CGRI comme une organisation terroriste d'ici le 30 juin ? » a généré $97.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 18, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le Royaume-Uni désignera-t-il le CGRI comme une organisation terroriste d'ici le 30 juin ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Le Royaume-Uni désignera-t-il le CGRI comme une organisation terroriste d'ici le 30 juin ? » est « Le Royaume-Uni désignera-t-il le CGRI comme organisation terroriste d'ici le 30 juin ? » à seulement 4%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le Royaume-Uni désignera-t-il le CGRI comme une organisation terroriste d'ici le 30 juin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.