Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms remains the central driver of the 67% implied probability on this market. With Republicans holding a narrow majority, individual Democratic resolutions have been tabled or stalled, but traders anticipate that a chamber flip would produce the simple-majority vote required to advance articles of impeachment. President Trump has publicly tied GOP midterm losses to renewed proceedings, while polling shows majority support for action on multiple grounds. Recent Iran-related tensions and prior executive actions have sustained calls from some lawmakers, though Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope. Historical patterns of divided government and ample time remaining before January 2029 reinforce trader consensus around a House vote occurring under new leadership.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump sera-t-il destitué avant la fin de son mandat ?
Trump sera-t-il destitué avant la fin de son mandat ?
Oui
67% chance
$94,129 Vol.
$94,129 Vol.
19 janv. 2029
Oui
67% chance
$94,129 Vol.
$94,129 Vol.
19 janv. 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms remains the central driver of the 67% implied probability on this market. With Republicans holding a narrow majority, individual Democratic resolutions have been tabled or stalled, but traders anticipate that a chamber flip would produce the simple-majority vote required to advance articles of impeachment. President Trump has publicly tied GOP midterm losses to renewed proceedings, while polling shows majority support for action on multiple grounds. Recent Iran-related tensions and prior executive actions have sustained calls from some lawmakers, though Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope. Historical patterns of divided government and ample time remaining before January 2029 reinforce trader consensus around a House vote occurring under new leadership.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$94,129Date de fin
20 janv. 2029Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms remains the central driver of the 67% implied probability on this market. With Republicans holding a narrow majority, individual Democratic resolutions have been tabled or stalled, but traders anticipate that a chamber flip would produce the simple-majority vote required to advance articles of impeachment. President Trump has publicly tied GOP midterm losses to renewed proceedings, while polling shows majority support for action on multiple grounds. Recent Iran-related tensions and prior executive actions have sustained calls from some lawmakers, though Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope. Historical patterns of divided government and ample time remaining before January 2029 reinforce trader consensus around a House vote occurring under new leadership.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$94,129Date de fin
20 janv. 2029Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms remains the central driver of the 67% implied probability on this market. With Republicans holding a narrow majority, individual Democratic resolutions have been tabled or stalled, but traders anticipate that a chamber flip would produce the simple-majority vote required to advance articles of impeachment. President Trump has publicly tied GOP midterm losses to renewed proceedings, while polling shows majority support for action on multiple grounds. Recent Iran-related tensions and prior executive actions have sustained calls from some lawmakers, though Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope. Historical patterns of divided government and ample time remaining before January 2029 reinforce trader consensus around a House vote occurring under new leadership.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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