Recent Democratic calls for impeachment, fueled by the April 2026 escalation in the Iran conflict and related executive actions, have intensified pressure on House Republicans. With control of the chamber currently resting narrowly with the GOP, traders assign a 64 percent probability that President Trump faces articles of impeachment before January 2029 largely because a Democratic House majority after the November 2026 midterms would likely advance such measures. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced, and historical patterns show that opposition parties routinely pursue impeachment inquiries once they hold the gavel. Senate conviction remains improbable given current partisan margins, yet the lower House threshold alone sustains the elevated odds. Scheduled midterms and any further policy flashpoints could shift these dynamics before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump sera-t-il destitué avant la fin de son mandat ?
Trump sera-t-il destitué avant la fin de son mandat ?
Oui
$62,328 Vol.
$62,328 Vol.
20 janv. 2029
Oui
$62,328 Vol.
$62,328 Vol.
20 janv. 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent Democratic calls for impeachment, fueled by the April 2026 escalation in the Iran conflict and related executive actions, have intensified pressure on House Republicans. With control of the chamber currently resting narrowly with the GOP, traders assign a 64 percent probability that President Trump faces articles of impeachment before January 2029 largely because a Democratic House majority after the November 2026 midterms would likely advance such measures. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced, and historical patterns show that opposition parties routinely pursue impeachment inquiries once they hold the gavel. Senate conviction remains improbable given current partisan margins, yet the lower House threshold alone sustains the elevated odds. Scheduled midterms and any further policy flashpoints could shift these dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$62,328Date de fin
20 janv. 2029Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent Democratic calls for impeachment, fueled by the April 2026 escalation in the Iran conflict and related executive actions, have intensified pressure on House Republicans. With control of the chamber currently resting narrowly with the GOP, traders assign a 64 percent probability that President Trump faces articles of impeachment before January 2029 largely because a Democratic House majority after the November 2026 midterms would likely advance such measures. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced, and historical patterns show that opposition parties routinely pursue impeachment inquiries once they hold the gavel. Senate conviction remains improbable given current partisan margins, yet the lower House threshold alone sustains the elevated odds. Scheduled midterms and any further policy flashpoints could shift these dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$62,328Date de fin
20 janv. 2029Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Democratic calls for impeachment, fueled by the April 2026 escalation in the Iran conflict and related executive actions, have intensified pressure on House Republicans. With control of the chamber currently resting narrowly with the GOP, traders assign a 64 percent probability that President Trump faces articles of impeachment before January 2029 largely because a Democratic House majority after the November 2026 midterms would likely advance such measures. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced, and historical patterns show that opposition parties routinely pursue impeachment inquiries once they hold the gavel. Senate conviction remains improbable given current partisan margins, yet the lower House threshold alone sustains the elevated odds. Scheduled midterms and any further policy flashpoints could shift these dynamics before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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