Republican majorities in the House of Representatives drive the near-certain trader consensus against impeachment by June 30. With the opposition lacking the votes needed for House passage, no formal proceedings have advanced, and the compressed timeline leaves little room for new developments to gain traction. Historical patterns show that impeachments require broad bipartisan support or a sudden shift in chamber control, neither of which appears imminent. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal surfacing with documented evidence sufficient to prompt cross-party defections or an unexpected change in House composition through special elections. Absent such catalysts, the current political alignment points to resolution without impeachment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$366,515 Vol.
$366,515 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$366,515 Vol.
$366,515 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican majorities in the House of Representatives drive the near-certain trader consensus against impeachment by June 30. With the opposition lacking the votes needed for House passage, no formal proceedings have advanced, and the compressed timeline leaves little room for new developments to gain traction. Historical patterns show that impeachments require broad bipartisan support or a sudden shift in chamber control, neither of which appears imminent. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal surfacing with documented evidence sufficient to prompt cross-party defections or an unexpected change in House composition through special elections. Absent such catalysts, the current political alignment points to resolution without impeachment.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Volume
$366,515Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican majorities in the House of Representatives drive the near-certain trader consensus against impeachment by June 30. With the opposition lacking the votes needed for House passage, no formal proceedings have advanced, and the compressed timeline leaves little room for new developments to gain traction. Historical patterns show that impeachments require broad bipartisan support or a sudden shift in chamber control, neither of which appears imminent. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal surfacing with documented evidence sufficient to prompt cross-party defections or an unexpected change in House composition through special elections. Absent such catalysts, the current political alignment points to resolution without impeachment.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$366,515Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in the House of Representatives drive the near-certain trader consensus against impeachment by June 30. With the opposition lacking the votes needed for House passage, no formal proceedings have advanced, and the compressed timeline leaves little room for new developments to gain traction. Historical patterns show that impeachments require broad bipartisan support or a sudden shift in chamber control, neither of which appears imminent. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal surfacing with documented evidence sufficient to prompt cross-party defections or an unexpected change in House composition through special elections. Absent such catalysts, the current political alignment points to resolution without impeachment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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