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icon for Trump désignera-t-il le PCC ou le CV du Brésil comme des terroristes d'ici le 31 décembre ?
Politique·Terror

Trump désignera-t-il le PCC ou le CV du Brésil comme des terroristes d'ici le 31 décembre ?

icon for Trump désignera-t-il le PCC ou le CV du Brésil comme des terroristes d'ici le 31 décembre ?
Politique·Terror

Trump désignera-t-il le PCC ou le CV du Brésil comme des terroristes d'ici le 31 décembre ?

Oui

94% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

94% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026, State Department action designating Brazil’s Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists, with Foreign Terrorist Organization status effective June 5, anchors trader consensus at 94.1% for a “Yes” outcome by year-end. Secretary of State Marco Rubio cited the groups’ transnational criminal networks, violence against officials, and drug trafficking reach extending into the United States. The move followed lobbying by Brazilian opposition figures including Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and aligns with broader administration efforts to apply counterterrorism tools against Latin American cartels. While the designations are now in force, markets price in minimal reversal risk before December 31 absent unforeseen diplomatic or legal shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,092
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026, State Department action designating Brazil’s Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists, with Foreign Terrorist Organization status effective June 5, anchors trader consensus at 94.1% for a “Yes” outcome by year-end. Secretary of State Marco Rubio cited the groups’ transnational criminal networks, violence against officials, and drug trafficking reach extending into the United States. The move followed lobbying by Brazilian opposition figures including Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and aligns with broader administration efforts to apply counterterrorism tools against Latin American cartels. While the designations are now in force, markets price in minimal reversal risk before December 31 absent unforeseen diplomatic or legal shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,092
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« Trump désignera-t-il le PCC ou le CV du Brésil comme des terroristes d'ici le 31 décembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Trump désignera-t-il le PCC ou le CV du Brésil comme terroristes d'ici le 31 décembre ? » à 94%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 94¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Trump désignera-t-il le PCC ou le CV du Brésil comme des terroristes d'ici le 31 décembre ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 28, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Trump désignera-t-il le PCC ou le CV du Brésil comme des terroristes d'ici le 31 décembre ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Trump désignera-t-il le PCC ou le CV du Brésil comme des terroristes d'ici le 31 décembre ? » est « Trump désignera-t-il le PCC ou le CV du Brésil comme terroristes d'ici le 31 décembre ? » à 94%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Trump désignera-t-il le PCC ou le CV du Brésil comme des terroristes d'ici le 31 décembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.