Ongoing martial law, extended by Ukraine’s parliament through August 2026, constitutionally bars presidential elections and underpins the near-certain trader view that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will remain in office past June 30. His 2019 term formally concluded in 2024, yet Ukrainian law keeps the incumbent in power until a successor is elected after martial law ends. No ceasefire or security guarantees have emerged to enable a vote, and recent parliamentary actions confirm continuation of wartime restrictions. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough allowing rapid elections or an unforeseen resignation could still shift the outcome, though both remain distant given active hostilities and procedural timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$246,649 Vol.
$246,649 Vol.
Oui
$246,649 Vol.
$246,649 Vol.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing martial law, extended by Ukraine’s parliament through August 2026, constitutionally bars presidential elections and underpins the near-certain trader view that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will remain in office past June 30. His 2019 term formally concluded in 2024, yet Ukrainian law keeps the incumbent in power until a successor is elected after martial law ends. No ceasefire or security guarantees have emerged to enable a vote, and recent parliamentary actions confirm continuation of wartime restrictions. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough allowing rapid elections or an unforeseen resignation could still shift the outcome, though both remain distant given active hostilities and procedural timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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