Recent Kremlin statements have elevated the likelihood of a trilateral Trump-Putin-Xi meeting on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, directly supporting trader consensus around that outcome. Russian aides Yuri Ushakov and Dmitry Peskov confirmed the idea was discussed during recent Shanghai Cooperation Organisation contacts and the September 8 Trump-Putin phone call, following envoy meetings in Moscow. Ongoing U.S. efforts to advance Ukraine negotiations through envoys and calls have not yet produced a confirmed bilateral summit date or venue, leaving room for the substantial “no meeting by year-end” share. Low probabilities for the United States, Russia, or other locations reflect the absence of scheduled bilateral plans and the diplomatic focus on the multilateral China-hosted forum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourChina 56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 33%
United States 3.9%
Gulf country 2.1%
$1,120,979 Vol.
$1,120,979 Vol.
China
56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
33%
United States
4%
Gulf country
2%
Russia
2%
Turkey
1%
Other
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 33%
United States 3.9%
Gulf country 2.1%
$1,120,979 Vol.
$1,120,979 Vol.
China
56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
33%
United States
4%
Gulf country
2%
Russia
2%
Turkey
1%
Other
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements have elevated the likelihood of a trilateral Trump-Putin-Xi meeting on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, directly supporting trader consensus around that outcome. Russian aides Yuri Ushakov and Dmitry Peskov confirmed the idea was discussed during recent Shanghai Cooperation Organisation contacts and the September 8 Trump-Putin phone call, following envoy meetings in Moscow. Ongoing U.S. efforts to advance Ukraine negotiations through envoys and calls have not yet produced a confirmed bilateral summit date or venue, leaving room for the substantial “no meeting by year-end” share. Low probabilities for the United States, Russia, or other locations reflect the absence of scheduled bilateral plans and the diplomatic focus on the multilateral China-hosted forum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes