Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through his second term, falling from initial post-inauguration levels near 47 percent to recent aggregates around 37-38 percent and individual polls as low as 33 percent as of mid-August 2026. Primary pressures include the resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in July, ongoing military engagements, and associated economic effects such as higher energy prices amid concerns over the Strait of Hormuz. Domestic factors center on affordability and cost-of-living issues ahead of the November midterms. These developments have produced net approval ratings at or near second-term lows, with limited recent catalysts for upward movement in polling. Traders evaluating peak levels for the remainder of 2026 will track any shifts in foreign policy developments, economic indicators, or legislative outcomes that could alter the current downward trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuelle sera la note d'approbation de Trump en 2026 ?
↑ 44 %
6%
↑ 45 %
5%
↑ 46 %
6%
↑ 47 %
11%
↑ 48 %
6%
↑ 49 %
4%
↑ 50 %
7%
$7,531 Vol.
↑ 44 %
6%
↑ 45 %
5%
↑ 46 %
6%
↑ 47 %
11%
↑ 48 %
6%
↑ 49 %
4%
↑ 50 %
7%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Marché ouvert : Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through his second term, falling from initial post-inauguration levels near 47 percent to recent aggregates around 37-38 percent and individual polls as low as 33 percent as of mid-August 2026. Primary pressures include the resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in July, ongoing military engagements, and associated economic effects such as higher energy prices amid concerns over the Strait of Hormuz. Domestic factors center on affordability and cost-of-living issues ahead of the November midterms. These developments have produced net approval ratings at or near second-term lows, with limited recent catalysts for upward movement in polling. Traders evaluating peak levels for the remainder of 2026 will track any shifts in foreign policy developments, economic indicators, or legislative outcomes that could alter the current downward trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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