**Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to try STF justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, a threshold never met in the court’s history.** Over 100 impeachment petitions—most targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master investigation and related disputes—remain stalled by Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority. Lula-aligned majorities in the current Congress continue to block advancement, while recent opposition proposals to bypass the president via 49 signatures or shorten timelines face uncertain prospects before year-end. With national elections approaching in October 2026 and the next Senate term beginning in 2027, traders view the procedural, numerical, and political barriers as decisive through the end of 2026. Late-breaking scandals, an unexpected Senate rules overhaul, or a decisive post-election shift in composition could still reopen the possibility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
4% संभावना
$91,769 वॉल्यूम
$91,769 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
4% संभावना
$91,769 वॉल्यूम
$91,769 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to try STF justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, a threshold never met in the court’s history.** Over 100 impeachment petitions—most targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master investigation and related disputes—remain stalled by Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority. Lula-aligned majorities in the current Congress continue to block advancement, while recent opposition proposals to bypass the president via 49 signatures or shorten timelines face uncertain prospects before year-end. With national elections approaching in October 2026 and the next Senate term beginning in 2027, traders view the procedural, numerical, and political barriers as decisive through the end of 2026. Late-breaking scandals, an unexpected Senate rules overhaul, or a decisive post-election shift in composition could still reopen the possibility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$91,769समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to try STF justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, a threshold never met in the court’s history.** Over 100 impeachment petitions—most targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master investigation and related disputes—remain stalled by Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority. Lula-aligned majorities in the current Congress continue to block advancement, while recent opposition proposals to bypass the president via 49 signatures or shorten timelines face uncertain prospects before year-end. With national elections approaching in October 2026 and the next Senate term beginning in 2027, traders view the procedural, numerical, and political barriers as decisive through the end of 2026. Late-breaking scandals, an unexpected Senate rules overhaul, or a decisive post-election shift in composition could still reopen the possibility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$91,769समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...**Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to try STF justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, a threshold never met in the court’s history.** Over 100 impeachment petitions—most targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master investigation and related disputes—remain stalled by Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority. Lula-aligned majorities in the current Congress continue to block advancement, while recent opposition proposals to bypass the president via 49 signatures or shorten timelines face uncertain prospects before year-end. With national elections approaching in October 2026 and the next Senate term beginning in 2027, traders view the procedural, numerical, and political barriers as decisive through the end of 2026. Late-breaking scandals, an unexpected Senate rules overhaul, or a decisive post-election shift in composition could still reopen the possibility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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