Recent polls project President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading the October 4 first round with roughly 39 percent support while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro trails in the low to mid-30s, positioning the Liberal Party nominee as the clear frontrunner for second place. Jair Bolsonaro’s December endorsement consolidated right-wing backing behind his son, and subsequent surveys from Quaest, Datafolha, and Ideia show Flávio maintaining a narrow edge or statistical tie against Lula in runoff simulations. Other declared candidates, including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, register single-digit first-round shares that traders view as insufficient to overtake Flávio absent major withdrawals or shifts in opposition unity. Economic pressures on Lula’s approval ratings and lingering questions over Flávio’s legal matters have kept the market’s implied probability for a Bolsonaro second-place finish above 60 percent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 15%
रेनेन सैंटोस 7.3%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा 6.7%
$3,523,451 वॉल्यूम
$3,523,451 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
15%
रेनेन सैंटोस
7%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
7%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
3%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
3%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टिना
1%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
हेल्डर बारबल्हो
<1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 15%
रेनेन सैंटोस 7.3%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा 6.7%
$3,523,451 वॉल्यूम
$3,523,451 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
15%
रेनेन सैंटोस
7%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
7%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
3%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
3%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टिना
1%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
हेल्डर बारबल्हो
<1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls project President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading the October 4 first round with roughly 39 percent support while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro trails in the low to mid-30s, positioning the Liberal Party nominee as the clear frontrunner for second place. Jair Bolsonaro’s December endorsement consolidated right-wing backing behind his son, and subsequent surveys from Quaest, Datafolha, and Ideia show Flávio maintaining a narrow edge or statistical tie against Lula in runoff simulations. Other declared candidates, including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, register single-digit first-round shares that traders view as insufficient to overtake Flávio absent major withdrawals or shifts in opposition unity. Economic pressures on Lula’s approval ratings and lingering questions over Flávio’s legal matters have kept the market’s implied probability for a Bolsonaro second-place finish above 60 percent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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