The district's consistent Democratic lean, rooted in voter registration advantages and a history of electing Democrats by double-digit margins, anchors the market's strong consensus around a party hold. Julia Brownley's retirement has opened the seat for the first time in over a decade, drawing a crowded primary field that includes experienced Democrats such as state Assembly member Jacqui Irwin alongside several Republican challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural barriers for Republicans. A narrow path to an upset would require an unusually strong Republican primary performance, a significant national political shift before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this Ventura County-centered district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$26,373 वॉल्यूम
$26,373 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$26,373 वॉल्यूम
$26,373 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$14,001 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$12,373 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Democratic lean, rooted in voter registration advantages and a history of electing Democrats by double-digit margins, anchors the market's strong consensus around a party hold. Julia Brownley's retirement has opened the seat for the first time in over a decade, drawing a crowded primary field that includes experienced Democrats such as state Assembly member Jacqui Irwin alongside several Republican challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural barriers for Republicans. A narrow path to an upset would require an unusually strong Republican primary performance, a significant national political shift before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this Ventura County-centered district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,373समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Democratic lean, rooted in voter registration advantages and a history of electing Democrats by double-digit margins, anchors the market's strong consensus around a party hold. Julia Brownley's retirement has opened the seat for the first time in over a decade, drawing a crowded primary field that includes experienced Democrats such as state Assembly member Jacqui Irwin alongside several Republican challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural barriers for Republicans. A narrow path to an upset would require an unusually strong Republican primary performance, a significant national political shift before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this Ventura County-centered district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$26,373समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's consistent Democratic lean, rooted in voter registration advantages and a history of electing Democrats by double-digit margins, anchors the market's strong consensus around a party hold. Julia Brownley's retirement has opened the seat for the first time in over a decade, drawing a crowded primary field that includes experienced Democrats such as state Assembly member Jacqui Irwin alongside several Republican challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural barriers for Republicans. A narrow path to an upset would require an unusually strong Republican primary performance, a significant national political shift before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this Ventura County-centered district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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