Recent FOMC communications and incoming data have anchored trader expectations for unchanged federal funds rates through the summer, with the April 29 decision holding the target range at 3.5% to 3.75% amid inflation running at 3.3% in March due to elevated energy prices from Middle East developments. Solid April nonfarm payrolls of 115,000 and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate reinforced the view that labor-market conditions do not yet warrant easing, aligning with the 93% market-implied probability of three consecutive pauses. This pricing reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance and recent upward revisions to 2026 rate forecasts from major banks, which now see no cuts this year. A sharper-than-expected decline in core inflation or a meaningful softening in employment could still reopen the door to a July cut.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 93%
Pause–Pause–Cut 4.8%
Other 3.4%
Pause–Cut–Cut 1.5%
$49,042 वॉल्यूम
$49,042 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
5%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
3%
Pause–Pause–Pause 93%
Pause–Pause–Cut 4.8%
Other 3.4%
Pause–Cut–Cut 1.5%
$49,042 वॉल्यूम
$49,042 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$2,607 वॉल्यूम
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$1,665 वॉल्यूम
5%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$1,568 वॉल्यूम
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$1,622 वॉल्यूम
1%
Other
$1,595 वॉल्यूम
3%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC communications and incoming data have anchored trader expectations for unchanged federal funds rates through the summer, with the April 29 decision holding the target range at 3.5% to 3.75% amid inflation running at 3.3% in March due to elevated energy prices from Middle East developments. Solid April nonfarm payrolls of 115,000 and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate reinforced the view that labor-market conditions do not yet warrant easing, aligning with the 93% market-implied probability of three consecutive pauses. This pricing reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance and recent upward revisions to 2026 rate forecasts from major banks, which now see no cuts this year. A sharper-than-expected decline in core inflation or a meaningful softening in employment could still reopen the door to a July cut.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$49,042समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC communications and incoming data have anchored trader expectations for unchanged federal funds rates through the summer, with the April 29 decision holding the target range at 3.5% to 3.75% amid inflation running at 3.3% in March due to elevated energy prices from Middle East developments. Solid April nonfarm payrolls of 115,000 and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate reinforced the view that labor-market conditions do not yet warrant easing, aligning with the 93% market-implied probability of three consecutive pauses. This pricing reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance and recent upward revisions to 2026 rate forecasts from major banks, which now see no cuts this year. A sharper-than-expected decline in core inflation or a meaningful softening in employment could still reopen the door to a July cut.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$49,042समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC communications and incoming data have anchored trader expectations for unchanged federal funds rates through the summer, with the April 29 decision holding the target range at 3.5% to 3.75% amid inflation running at 3.3% in March due to elevated energy prices from Middle East developments. Solid April nonfarm payrolls of 115,000 and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate reinforced the view that labor-market conditions do not yet warrant easing, aligning with the 93% market-implied probability of three consecutive pauses. This pricing reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance and recent upward revisions to 2026 rate forecasts from major banks, which now see no cuts this year. A sharper-than-expected decline in core inflation or a meaningful softening in employment could still reopen the door to a July cut.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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