The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor no changes to the federal funds rate target range across the March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, reflecting traders’ assessment of persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions and a resilient labor market that has kept unemployment near 4.3 percent. Recent data, including April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs and March CPI accelerating to 3.3 percent year-over-year, have reinforced the Fed’s patient stance at the 3.50–3.75 percent level, consistent with the April 29 decision that featured an 8-4 vote. This positioning aligns with the latest dot plot median expecting just one cut for the full year, though delayed. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release and the June 16–17 meeting, where any downside surprise in employment or inflation readings could still prompt a reassessment of the hold path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाविराम–विराम–विराम 98.2%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 1.3%
अन्य <1%
$1,105,801 वॉल्यूम
$1,105,801 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
98%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
1%
अन्य
1%
विराम–विराम–विराम 98.2%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 1.3%
अन्य <1%
$1,105,801 वॉल्यूम
$1,105,801 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
$63,672 वॉल्यूम
98%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
$42,249 वॉल्यूम
1%
अन्य
$254,539 वॉल्यूम
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor no changes to the federal funds rate target range across the March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, reflecting traders’ assessment of persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions and a resilient labor market that has kept unemployment near 4.3 percent. Recent data, including April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs and March CPI accelerating to 3.3 percent year-over-year, have reinforced the Fed’s patient stance at the 3.50–3.75 percent level, consistent with the April 29 decision that featured an 8-4 vote. This positioning aligns with the latest dot plot median expecting just one cut for the full year, though delayed. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release and the June 16–17 meeting, where any downside surprise in employment or inflation readings could still prompt a reassessment of the hold path.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,105,801समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor no changes to the federal funds rate target range across the March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, reflecting traders’ assessment of persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions and a resilient labor market that has kept unemployment near 4.3 percent. Recent data, including April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs and March CPI accelerating to 3.3 percent year-over-year, have reinforced the Fed’s patient stance at the 3.50–3.75 percent level, consistent with the April 29 decision that featured an 8-4 vote. This positioning aligns with the latest dot plot median expecting just one cut for the full year, though delayed. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release and the June 16–17 meeting, where any downside surprise in employment or inflation readings could still prompt a reassessment of the hold path.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$1,105,801समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor no changes to the federal funds rate target range across the March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, reflecting traders’ assessment of persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions and a resilient labor market that has kept unemployment near 4.3 percent. Recent data, including April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs and March CPI accelerating to 3.3 percent year-over-year, have reinforced the Fed’s patient stance at the 3.50–3.75 percent level, consistent with the April 29 decision that featured an 8-4 vote. This positioning aligns with the latest dot plot median expecting just one cut for the full year, though delayed. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release and the June 16–17 meeting, where any downside surprise in employment or inflation readings could still prompt a reassessment of the hold path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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