Multiple candidates, including Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann as leading contenders alongside Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, and others, have fragmented the closed primary electorate ahead of the October 9-10 first round. Recent internal PS consultations, candidate declarations through mid-September, and reporting on competing factions within the social-democratic pole have reinforced expectations of a split vote. Historical patterns in French party primaries and the absence of a dominant frontrunner with consolidated support further support trader consensus that a runoff on October 16-17 remains the more probable outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
42% संभावना
नया
नया
10 अक्टू, 2026
हाँ
42% संभावना
नया
नया
10 अक्टू, 2026
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Multiple candidates, including Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann as leading contenders alongside Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, and others, have fragmented the closed primary electorate ahead of the October 9-10 first round. Recent internal PS consultations, candidate declarations through mid-September, and reporting on competing factions within the social-democratic pole have reinforced expectations of a split vote. Historical patterns in French party primaries and the absence of a dominant frontrunner with consolidated support further support trader consensus that a runoff on October 16-17 remains the more probable outcome.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$40समाप्ति तिथि
10 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Multiple candidates, including Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann as leading contenders alongside Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, and others, have fragmented the closed primary electorate ahead of the October 9-10 first round. Recent internal PS consultations, candidate declarations through mid-September, and reporting on competing factions within the social-democratic pole have reinforced expectations of a split vote. Historical patterns in French party primaries and the absence of a dominant frontrunner with consolidated support further support trader consensus that a runoff on October 16-17 remains the more probable outcome.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
वॉल्यूम
$40समाप्ति तिथि
10 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Multiple candidates, including Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann as leading contenders alongside Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, and others, have fragmented the closed primary electorate ahead of the October 9-10 first round. Recent internal PS consultations, candidate declarations through mid-September, and reporting on competing factions within the social-democratic pole have reinforced expectations of a split vote. Historical patterns in French party primaries and the absence of a dominant frontrunner with consolidated support further support trader consensus that a runoff on October 16-17 remains the more probable outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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