Recent forecasts from Météo-France and international models indicate a moderating Atlantic influence over northern France on August 15, 2026, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm potential limiting daytime heating. This follows an exceptionally warm summer featuring multiple heatwaves, yet points to a peak around 30–34 °C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering near 32 °C, explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability there (43.1 %) while assigning meaningful weight to adjacent 31 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Resolution hinges on the official maximum observation, which can shift with exact storm timing or localized clearing; updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 27.1%
31°C 25.0%
33°C 24%
30°C or below 11.3%
$138,322 वॉल्यूम
$138,322 वॉल्यूम
15 अग, 2026
30°C or below
11%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
24%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 27.1%
31°C 25.0%
33°C 24%
30°C or below 11.3%
$138,322 वॉल्यूम
$138,322 वॉल्यूम
15 अग, 2026
30°C or below
$44,345 वॉल्यूम
11%
31°C
$19,418 वॉल्यूम
29%
32°C
$17,164 वॉल्यूम
36%
33°C
$16,569 वॉल्यूम
24%
34°C
$17,304 वॉल्यूम
3%
35°C
$14,180 वॉल्यूम
2%
36°C
$8,034 वॉल्यूम
1%
37°C
$3,563 वॉल्यूम
<1%
38°C
$958 वॉल्यूम
<1%
39°C
$1,123 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40°C or higher
$479 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and international models indicate a moderating Atlantic influence over northern France on August 15, 2026, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm potential limiting daytime heating. This follows an exceptionally warm summer featuring multiple heatwaves, yet points to a peak around 30–34 °C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering near 32 °C, explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability there (43.1 %) while assigning meaningful weight to adjacent 31 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Resolution hinges on the official maximum observation, which can shift with exact storm timing or localized clearing; updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$138,322समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and international models indicate a moderating Atlantic influence over northern France on August 15, 2026, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm potential limiting daytime heating. This follows an exceptionally warm summer featuring multiple heatwaves, yet points to a peak around 30–34 °C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering near 32 °C, explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability there (43.1 %) while assigning meaningful weight to adjacent 31 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Resolution hinges on the official maximum observation, which can shift with exact storm timing or localized clearing; updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$138,322समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from Météo-France and international models indicate a moderating Atlantic influence over northern France on August 15, 2026, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm potential limiting daytime heating. This follows an exceptionally warm summer featuring multiple heatwaves, yet points to a peak around 30–34 °C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering near 32 °C, explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability there (43.1 %) while assigning meaningful weight to adjacent 31 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Resolution hinges on the official maximum observation, which can shift with exact storm timing or localized clearing; updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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