Current forecasts from numerical weather models and INMET guidance indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for São Paulo on August 4, 2026, under overcast conditions with light winds and no significant frontal activity or warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, when average highs hover near 23–25°C amid stable subtropical high pressure. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around this value, with minimal spread in projected 2-meter temperatures. A sudden shift in steering flow or unmodeled urban heat island effects could push readings to 27°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability given the current synoptic setup and short time to resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$26,995 वॉल्यूम
$26,995 वॉल्यूम
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$26,995 वॉल्यूम
$26,995 वॉल्यूम
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from numerical weather models and INMET guidance indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for São Paulo on August 4, 2026, under overcast conditions with light winds and no significant frontal activity or warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, when average highs hover near 23–25°C amid stable subtropical high pressure. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around this value, with minimal spread in projected 2-meter temperatures. A sudden shift in steering flow or unmodeled urban heat island effects could push readings to 27°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability given the current synoptic setup and short time to resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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