Recent official guidance from Environment Canada points to a high near 24–26°C in Toronto on August 14 under a mix of sun and cloud with light winds, aligning with mid-August climatology of 25–27°C. Numerical models introduce modest uncertainty around afternoon maxima due to variable cloud cover and weak steering flow, creating narrow upside potential if ridging strengthens or skies clear more than expected. This tight range explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C and 28°C, as traders weigh official forecasts against ensemble guidance and historical analogs showing occasional warmer outliers. Updated model runs and tomorrow’s observations will likely resolve the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 अगस्त को टोरंटो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14 अगस्त को टोरंटो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 42%
28°C 35%
26°C 11%
29°C 9%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
42%
28°C
35%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 35%
26°C 11%
29°C 9%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
23°C or below
$707 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$1,083 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$17 वॉल्यूम
4%
26°C
$275 वॉल्यूम
11%
27°C
$1,368 वॉल्यूम
42%
28°C
$43 वॉल्यूम
35%
29°C
$128 वॉल्यूम
9%
30°C
$45 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C
$71 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C
$108 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C or higher
$92 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Environment Canada points to a high near 24–26°C in Toronto on August 14 under a mix of sun and cloud with light winds, aligning with mid-August climatology of 25–27°C. Numerical models introduce modest uncertainty around afternoon maxima due to variable cloud cover and weak steering flow, creating narrow upside potential if ridging strengthens or skies clear more than expected. This tight range explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C and 28°C, as traders weigh official forecasts against ensemble guidance and historical analogs showing occasional warmer outliers. Updated model runs and tomorrow’s observations will likely resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,940समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Environment Canada points to a high near 24–26°C in Toronto on August 14 under a mix of sun and cloud with light winds, aligning with mid-August climatology of 25–27°C. Numerical models introduce modest uncertainty around afternoon maxima due to variable cloud cover and weak steering flow, creating narrow upside potential if ridging strengthens or skies clear more than expected. This tight range explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C and 28°C, as traders weigh official forecasts against ensemble guidance and historical analogs showing occasional warmer outliers. Updated model runs and tomorrow’s observations will likely resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,940समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official guidance from Environment Canada points to a high near 24–26°C in Toronto on August 14 under a mix of sun and cloud with light winds, aligning with mid-August climatology of 25–27°C. Numerical models introduce modest uncertainty around afternoon maxima due to variable cloud cover and weak steering flow, creating narrow upside potential if ridging strengthens or skies clear more than expected. This tight range explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C and 28°C, as traders weigh official forecasts against ensemble guidance and historical analogs showing occasional warmer outliers. Updated model runs and tomorrow’s observations will likely resolve the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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