Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 12 most likely between 23–25°C under high pressure with light northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest daytime warming above seasonal averages near 23°C, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Model spread remains narrow two days out, with minimal risk of stronger warm advection or significant cooling from Atlantic fronts, keeping lower or higher extremes at very low probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 35%
23°C 31%
25°C 14%
22°C 12%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
12%
23°C
31%
24°C
35%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 35%
23°C 31%
25°C 14%
22°C 12%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
12%
23°C
31%
24°C
35%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 12 most likely between 23–25°C under high pressure with light northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest daytime warming above seasonal averages near 23°C, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Model spread remains narrow two days out, with minimal risk of stronger warm advection or significant cooling from Atlantic fronts, keeping lower or higher extremes at very low probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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