Trader consensus heavily favors the 100–129 bin at 98% implied probability because July 2026 U.S. tornado counts aligned closely with the NOAA long-term average of 118.8 confirmed events. Preliminary Storm Prediction Center reports and NCEI-verified totals clustered near 109–128, reflecting typical summertime patterns driven by the jet stream positioning that favors the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes while limiting activity elsewhere. Only one tropical system contributed, and Midwest activity fell below June levels. Final confirmation adjustments remain possible within narrow bounds, though major revisions outside this range would require substantial reclassification of reports or overlooked events.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजुलाई में अमेरिका में कितने बवंडर आए?
जुलाई में अमेरिका में कितने बवंडर आए?
100–129 98.0%
<100 2.2%
160–189 2.0%
250–279 <1%
$4,282 वॉल्यूम
$4,282 वॉल्यूम
1 अग, 2026
<100
2%
100–129
98%
130–159
1%
160–189
21%
190–219
37%
220–249
<1%
250–279
1%
280–310
<1%
310+
<1%
100–129 98.0%
<100 2.2%
160–189 2.0%
250–279 <1%
$4,282 वॉल्यूम
$4,282 वॉल्यूम
1 अग, 2026
<100
$810 वॉल्यूम
2%
100–129
$679 वॉल्यूम
98%
130–159
$429 वॉल्यूम
1%
160–189
$356 वॉल्यूम
21%
190–219
$320 वॉल्यूम
37%
220–249
$319 वॉल्यूम
<1%
250–279
$426 वॉल्यूम
1%
280–310
$479 वॉल्यूम
<1%
310+
$464 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Trader consensus heavily favors the 100–129 bin at 98% implied probability because July 2026 U.S. tornado counts aligned closely with the NOAA long-term average of 118.8 confirmed events. Preliminary Storm Prediction Center reports and NCEI-verified totals clustered near 109–128, reflecting typical summertime patterns driven by the jet stream positioning that favors the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes while limiting activity elsewhere. Only one tropical system contributed, and Midwest activity fell below June levels. Final confirmation adjustments remain possible within narrow bounds, though major revisions outside this range would require substantial reclassification of reports or overlooked events.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 9, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,282समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Trader consensus heavily favors the 100–129 bin at 98% implied probability because July 2026 U.S. tornado counts aligned closely with the NOAA long-term average of 118.8 confirmed events. Preliminary Storm Prediction Center reports and NCEI-verified totals clustered near 109–128, reflecting typical summertime patterns driven by the jet stream positioning that favors the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes while limiting activity elsewhere. Only one tropical system contributed, and Midwest activity fell below June levels. Final confirmation adjustments remain possible within narrow bounds, though major revisions outside this range would require substantial reclassification of reports or overlooked events.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
वॉल्यूम
$4,282समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors the 100–129 bin at 98% implied probability because July 2026 U.S. tornado counts aligned closely with the NOAA long-term average of 118.8 confirmed events. Preliminary Storm Prediction Center reports and NCEI-verified totals clustered near 109–128, reflecting typical summertime patterns driven by the jet stream positioning that favors the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes while limiting activity elsewhere. Only one tropical system contributed, and Midwest activity fell below June levels. Final confirmation adjustments remain possible within narrow bounds, though major revisions outside this range would require substantial reclassification of reports or overlooked events.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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