Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, selected by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's assassination amid the 2026 Iran war, continues consolidating authority through key appointments and security measures. The August 10 decree naming Hossein Taeb as Basij commander, emphasizing neighborhood-level monitoring and "every Iranian a Basiji" to counter hybrid threats, reflects efforts to address internal fragmentation and protests triggered by sanctions and economic pressures. Recent diplomatic outreach, including the Supreme National Security Council secretary's August 11 meeting with China's ambassador on expanded ties, signals regime priorities amid ongoing regional tensions and snapback sanctions. These developments, alongside reports of leadership rivalries and denied presidential resignation rumors, shape trader assessments of further near-term changes versus continuity under the new structure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$23,634,848 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
22 अगस्त
<1%
31 अगस्त
1%
30 सितंबर
5%
31 अक्टूबर
8%
30 नवंबर
11%
31 दिसंबर
17%
30 जून, 2027
26%
$23,634,848 वॉल्यूम
22 अगस्त
$60,072 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31 अगस्त
$1,195,073 वॉल्यूम
1%
30 सितंबर
$465,118 वॉल्यूम
5%
31 अक्टूबर
$17,762 वॉल्यूम
8%
30 नवंबर
$13,797 वॉल्यूम
11%
31 दिसंबर
$4,033,618 वॉल्यूम
17%
30 जून, 2027
$241,217 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, selected by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's assassination amid the 2026 Iran war, continues consolidating authority through key appointments and security measures. The August 10 decree naming Hossein Taeb as Basij commander, emphasizing neighborhood-level monitoring and "every Iranian a Basiji" to counter hybrid threats, reflects efforts to address internal fragmentation and protests triggered by sanctions and economic pressures. Recent diplomatic outreach, including the Supreme National Security Council secretary's August 11 meeting with China's ambassador on expanded ties, signals regime priorities amid ongoing regional tensions and snapback sanctions. These developments, alongside reports of leadership rivalries and denied presidential resignation rumors, shape trader assessments of further near-term changes versus continuity under the new structure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,634,848समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, selected by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's assassination amid the 2026 Iran war, continues consolidating authority through key appointments and security measures. The August 10 decree naming Hossein Taeb as Basij commander, emphasizing neighborhood-level monitoring and "every Iranian a Basiji" to counter hybrid threats, reflects efforts to address internal fragmentation and protests triggered by sanctions and economic pressures. Recent diplomatic outreach, including the Supreme National Security Council secretary's August 11 meeting with China's ambassador on expanded ties, signals regime priorities amid ongoing regional tensions and snapback sanctions. These developments, alongside reports of leadership rivalries and denied presidential resignation rumors, shape trader assessments of further near-term changes versus continuity under the new structure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$23,634,848समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, selected by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's assassination amid the 2026 Iran war, continues consolidating authority through key appointments and security measures. The August 10 decree naming Hossein Taeb as Basij commander, emphasizing neighborhood-level monitoring and "every Iranian a Basiji" to counter hybrid threats, reflects efforts to address internal fragmentation and protests triggered by sanctions and economic pressures. Recent diplomatic outreach, including the Supreme National Security Council secretary's August 11 meeting with China's ambassador on expanded ties, signals regime priorities amid ongoing regional tensions and snapback sanctions. These developments, alongside reports of leadership rivalries and denied presidential resignation rumors, shape trader assessments of further near-term changes versus continuity under the new structure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न