Opposition parties KMT and TPP, controlling 60 of 113 Legislative Yuan seats, lack the two-thirds supermajority (76 votes) required to pass an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te and refer it to the Constitutional Court, driving trader consensus to a near-certain "No" at 97.5%. The dispute stems from late 2025 disputes over a fiscal allocation bill Lai declined to promulgate, prompting hearings in January 2026 that Lai boycotted as unconstitutional. A formal roll-call vote is set for May 19, but absent DPP defections—deemed highly improbable amid partisan lines—failure is expected. Realistic shifts would require a major scandal, mass resignations altering quorum, or unprecedented cross-party support before June 30 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयालाई चिंग - ते के खिलाफ 30 जून तक महाभियोग चलाया गया?
लाई चिंग - ते के खिलाफ 30 जून तक महाभियोग चलाया गया?
हाँ
$615,885 वॉल्यूम
$615,885 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$615,885 वॉल्यूम
$615,885 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties KMT and TPP, controlling 60 of 113 Legislative Yuan seats, lack the two-thirds supermajority (76 votes) required to pass an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te and refer it to the Constitutional Court, driving trader consensus to a near-certain "No" at 97.5%. The dispute stems from late 2025 disputes over a fiscal allocation bill Lai declined to promulgate, prompting hearings in January 2026 that Lai boycotted as unconstitutional. A formal roll-call vote is set for May 19, but absent DPP defections—deemed highly improbable amid partisan lines—failure is expected. Realistic shifts would require a major scandal, mass resignations altering quorum, or unprecedented cross-party support before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$615,885समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties KMT and TPP, controlling 60 of 113 Legislative Yuan seats, lack the two-thirds supermajority (76 votes) required to pass an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te and refer it to the Constitutional Court, driving trader consensus to a near-certain "No" at 97.5%. The dispute stems from late 2025 disputes over a fiscal allocation bill Lai declined to promulgate, prompting hearings in January 2026 that Lai boycotted as unconstitutional. A formal roll-call vote is set for May 19, but absent DPP defections—deemed highly improbable amid partisan lines—failure is expected. Realistic shifts would require a major scandal, mass resignations altering quorum, or unprecedented cross-party support before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
वॉल्यूम
$615,885समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Opposition parties KMT and TPP, controlling 60 of 113 Legislative Yuan seats, lack the two-thirds supermajority (76 votes) required to pass an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te and refer it to the Constitutional Court, driving trader consensus to a near-certain "No" at 97.5%. The dispute stems from late 2025 disputes over a fiscal allocation bill Lai declined to promulgate, prompting hearings in January 2026 that Lai boycotted as unconstitutional. A formal roll-call vote is set for May 19, but absent DPP defections—deemed highly improbable amid partisan lines—failure is expected. Realistic shifts would require a major scandal, mass resignations altering quorum, or unprecedented cross-party support before June 30 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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