Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown from prior heat, with largely sunny conditions and an overnight low near 17°C expected for Paris on August 6, though ensemble models show a plausible range centering on 15–16°C. Clear skies favor radiational cooling overnight, while the synoptic pattern steers cooler Atlantic air into northern France, lowering minimums below seasonal averages of 14–15°C. Trader positioning around 15°C (44.5% implied) and 14–16°C reflects this model consensus and low uncertainty in short-range forecasts, with minimal risk of extremes given stable high pressure and light winds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of resolution could refine the exact minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
15°C 45%
14°C 27%
16°C 25%
13°C 6%
12°C या उससे कम
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
27%
15°C
45%
16°C
25%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C या उससे अधिक
1%
15°C 45%
14°C 27%
16°C 25%
13°C 6%
12°C या उससे कम
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
27%
15°C
45%
16°C
25%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown from prior heat, with largely sunny conditions and an overnight low near 17°C expected for Paris on August 6, though ensemble models show a plausible range centering on 15–16°C. Clear skies favor radiational cooling overnight, while the synoptic pattern steers cooler Atlantic air into northern France, lowering minimums below seasonal averages of 14–15°C. Trader positioning around 15°C (44.5% implied) and 14–16°C reflects this model consensus and low uncertainty in short-range forecasts, with minimal risk of extremes given stable high pressure and light winds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of resolution could refine the exact minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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