Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, faces limited resources and operates in a district where Morelle previously won by double-digit margins. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, a major scandal, or health-related development involving the incumbent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -25 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
NY -25 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$33,113 वॉल्यूम
$33,113 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जोसफ मोरेल (डेमोक्रेटिक)
96%
वर्जीनिया मैकइंटायर (रिपब्लिकन)
3%
$33,113 वॉल्यूम
$33,113 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जोसफ मोरेल (डेमोक्रेटिक)
$22,758 वॉल्यूम
96%
वर्जीनिया मैकइंटायर (रिपब्लिकन)
$10,354 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, faces limited resources and operates in a district where Morelle previously won by double-digit margins. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, a major scandal, or health-related development involving the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,113समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, faces limited resources and operates in a district where Morelle previously won by double-digit margins. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, a major scandal, or health-related development involving the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$33,113समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, faces limited resources and operates in a district where Morelle previously won by double-digit margins. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, a major scandal, or health-related development involving the incumbent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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