Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York's 24th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus around 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by Tenney's double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins this outlook, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Tenney advanced unopposed through the June primary while Democrat Alissa Ellman secured her nomination with limited resources and name recognition. Recent campaign finance reports show Tenney maintaining a substantial fundraising edge. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical voting patterns limit such scenarios.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY-24 House Election Winner
NY-24 House Election Winner
$20,558 वॉल्यूम
$20,558 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
क्लाउडिया टेनी (रिपब्लिकन)
93%
एलिसा एलमैन (डेमोक्रेट)
8%
$20,558 वॉल्यूम
$20,558 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
क्लाउडिया टेनी (रिपब्लिकन)
$10,938 वॉल्यूम
93%
एलिसा एलमैन (डेमोक्रेट)
$9,620 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York's 24th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus around 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by Tenney's double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins this outlook, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Tenney advanced unopposed through the June primary while Democrat Alissa Ellman secured her nomination with limited resources and name recognition. Recent campaign finance reports show Tenney maintaining a substantial fundraising edge. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical voting patterns limit such scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,558समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York's 24th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus around 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by Tenney's double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins this outlook, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Tenney advanced unopposed through the June primary while Democrat Alissa Ellman secured her nomination with limited resources and name recognition. Recent campaign finance reports show Tenney maintaining a substantial fundraising edge. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical voting patterns limit such scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$20,558समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York's 24th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus around 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by Tenney's double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins this outlook, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Tenney advanced unopposed through the June primary while Democrat Alissa Ellman secured her nomination with limited resources and name recognition. Recent campaign finance reports show Tenney maintaining a substantial fundraising edge. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical voting patterns limit such scenarios.
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