Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index derived from recent presidential results. Scanlon, who has held the seat since 2019 and serves on the Judiciary and Rules committees, advanced unopposed through the May 19 primaries alongside her general-election opponent. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of recent polling shifts or campaign developments that would indicate a competitive contest. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national midterm tailwinds for Republicans remain the primary factors that could alter the current positioning before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA -05 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
PA -05 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$33,066 वॉल्यूम
$33,066 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$33,066 वॉल्यूम
$33,066 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$9,583 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$23,483 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index derived from recent presidential results. Scanlon, who has held the seat since 2019 and serves on the Judiciary and Rules committees, advanced unopposed through the May 19 primaries alongside her general-election opponent. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of recent polling shifts or campaign developments that would indicate a competitive contest. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national midterm tailwinds for Republicans remain the primary factors that could alter the current positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,066समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index derived from recent presidential results. Scanlon, who has held the seat since 2019 and serves on the Judiciary and Rules committees, advanced unopposed through the May 19 primaries alongside her general-election opponent. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of recent polling shifts or campaign developments that would indicate a competitive contest. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national midterm tailwinds for Republicans remain the primary factors that could alter the current positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$33,066समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index derived from recent presidential results. Scanlon, who has held the seat since 2019 and serves on the Judiciary and Rules committees, advanced unopposed through the May 19 primaries alongside her general-election opponent. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of recent polling shifts or campaign developments that would indicate a competitive contest. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national midterm tailwinds for Republicans remain the primary factors that could alter the current positioning before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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