Republican congressional majorities, including House control, form the primary structural barrier to presidential removal before the end of 2026. On September 15, the House voted 232-147 to table the latest Democratic impeachment resolution targeting immigration enforcement actions, with multiple Democrats voting present amid midterm positioning. No sustained 25th Amendment process or resignation signals have emerged despite scattered commentary on fitness or policy disputes, including the ongoing Iran conflict and related legislative pushback. Traders price the low single-digit probability of an exit by December 31, 2026, reflecting these institutional thresholds, the short remaining timeline, and the absence of near-term catalysts capable of overcoming them.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
6% संभावना
$11,772,468 वॉल्यूम
$11,772,468 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
6% संभावना
$11,772,468 वॉल्यूम
$11,772,468 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican congressional majorities, including House control, form the primary structural barrier to presidential removal before the end of 2026. On September 15, the House voted 232-147 to table the latest Democratic impeachment resolution targeting immigration enforcement actions, with multiple Democrats voting present amid midterm positioning. No sustained 25th Amendment process or resignation signals have emerged despite scattered commentary on fitness or policy disputes, including the ongoing Iran conflict and related legislative pushback. Traders price the low single-digit probability of an exit by December 31, 2026, reflecting these institutional thresholds, the short remaining timeline, and the absence of near-term catalysts capable of overcoming them.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,772,468समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican congressional majorities, including House control, form the primary structural barrier to presidential removal before the end of 2026. On September 15, the House voted 232-147 to table the latest Democratic impeachment resolution targeting immigration enforcement actions, with multiple Democrats voting present amid midterm positioning. No sustained 25th Amendment process or resignation signals have emerged despite scattered commentary on fitness or policy disputes, including the ongoing Iran conflict and related legislative pushback. Traders price the low single-digit probability of an exit by December 31, 2026, reflecting these institutional thresholds, the short remaining timeline, and the absence of near-term catalysts capable of overcoming them.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$11,772,468समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Republican congressional majorities, including House control, form the primary structural barrier to presidential removal before the end of 2026. On September 15, the House voted 232-147 to table the latest Democratic impeachment resolution targeting immigration enforcement actions, with multiple Democrats voting present amid midterm positioning. No sustained 25th Amendment process or resignation signals have emerged despite scattered commentary on fitness or policy disputes, including the ongoing Iran conflict and related legislative pushback. Traders price the low single-digit probability of an exit by December 31, 2026, reflecting these institutional thresholds, the short remaining timeline, and the absence of near-term catalysts capable of overcoming them.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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