Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair ended on May 15, 2026, aligning closely with the leading May 15–22 outcome that currently reflects the strongest trader consensus. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor shortly before that date reinforced expectations of an orderly transition around the statutory deadline. Powell’s April statements confirming he would remain on the Board of Governors through at least part of his 2028 term removed uncertainty about an earlier exit while underscoring that his departure from the chair role itself would occur on schedule. These developments, occurring within the past thirty days, have concentrated implied probabilities on the immediate windows rather than later periods.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 40.4%
May 23–29 31.9%
May 30–June 5 5.1%
June 6–12 2.7%
$172,512 वॉल्यूम
$172,512 वॉल्यूम
May 15–22
44%
May 23–29
32%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 40.4%
May 23–29 31.9%
May 30–June 5 5.1%
June 6–12 2.7%
$172,512 वॉल्यूम
$172,512 वॉल्यूम
May 15–22
44%
May 23–29
32%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair ended on May 15, 2026, aligning closely with the leading May 15–22 outcome that currently reflects the strongest trader consensus. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor shortly before that date reinforced expectations of an orderly transition around the statutory deadline. Powell’s April statements confirming he would remain on the Board of Governors through at least part of his 2028 term removed uncertainty about an earlier exit while underscoring that his departure from the chair role itself would occur on schedule. These developments, occurring within the past thirty days, have concentrated implied probabilities on the immediate windows rather than later periods.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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