Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 55.8%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 5.0%
June 6–12 2.7%
$168,186 वॉल्यूम
$168,186 वॉल्यूम
3 जुल, 2026
May 15–22
56%
May 23–29
34%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 55.8%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 5.0%
June 6–12 2.7%
$168,186 वॉल्यूम
$168,186 वॉल्यूम
3 जुल, 2026
May 15–22
$64,660 वॉल्यूम
56%
May 23–29
$8,345 वॉल्यूम
34%
May 30–June 5
$9,137 वॉल्यूम
5%
June 6–12
$9,059 वॉल्यूम
3%
June 13–19
$8,855 वॉल्यूम
2%
June 20–26
$10,068 वॉल्यूम
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,200 वॉल्यूम
1%
After July 3
$15,911 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$168,186समाप्ति तिथि
3 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$168,186समाप्ति तिथि
3 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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