Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, prompting the sharp concentration of trader probabilities in the immediate following week. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor, completed days earlier, established the formal transition timeline and reduced uncertainty around an abrupt exit. Powell’s public statement that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an unspecified period after stepping down as chair further clarified that departure from the leadership role would not involve full resignation from the institution. These developments aligned market pricing with the statutory end of the chairmanship while leaving modest probability mass in the subsequent week to account for any administrative or swearing-in delays. No additional legislative or legal hurdles have emerged to shift the consensus window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 50.1%
May 23–29 31.3%
May 30–June 5 5.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$172,108 वॉल्यूम
$172,108 वॉल्यूम
May 15–22
50%
May 23–29
31%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 50.1%
May 23–29 31.3%
May 30–June 5 5.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$172,108 वॉल्यूम
$172,108 वॉल्यूम
May 15–22
50%
May 23–29
31%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, prompting the sharp concentration of trader probabilities in the immediate following week. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor, completed days earlier, established the formal transition timeline and reduced uncertainty around an abrupt exit. Powell’s public statement that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an unspecified period after stepping down as chair further clarified that departure from the leadership role would not involve full resignation from the institution. These developments aligned market pricing with the statutory end of the chairmanship while leaving modest probability mass in the subsequent week to account for any administrative or swearing-in delays. No additional legislative or legal hurdles have emerged to shift the consensus window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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