Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily through mid-2026, reaching 6.4% in July amid stronger-than-expected job gains of 75,000 and rising labor force participation to 65.1%. Annual figures show 2025 at 6.91% versus a projected 6.61% for 2026, with monthly readings remaining below that level after an earlier peak near 6.9%. This trajectory, supported by Bank of Canada communications and improving employment data, underpins the 92.8% market-implied probability against 2026 marking the highest rate since 2016. Key upcoming catalysts include August labor data and potential U.S. tariff impacts that could introduce downside risks to growth and push the rate higher than currently implied.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7% संभावना
नया
नया
15 फ़र, 2027
7% संभावना
नया
नया
15 फ़र, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily through mid-2026, reaching 6.4% in July amid stronger-than-expected job gains of 75,000 and rising labor force participation to 65.1%. Annual figures show 2025 at 6.91% versus a projected 6.61% for 2026, with monthly readings remaining below that level after an earlier peak near 6.9%. This trajectory, supported by Bank of Canada communications and improving employment data, underpins the 92.8% market-implied probability against 2026 marking the highest rate since 2016. Key upcoming catalysts include August labor data and potential U.S. tariff impacts that could introduce downside risks to growth and push the rate higher than currently implied.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,375समाप्ति तिथि
15 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily through mid-2026, reaching 6.4% in July amid stronger-than-expected job gains of 75,000 and rising labor force participation to 65.1%. Annual figures show 2025 at 6.91% versus a projected 6.61% for 2026, with monthly readings remaining below that level after an earlier peak near 6.9%. This trajectory, supported by Bank of Canada communications and improving employment data, underpins the 92.8% market-implied probability against 2026 marking the highest rate since 2016. Key upcoming catalysts include August labor data and potential U.S. tariff impacts that could introduce downside risks to growth and push the rate higher than currently implied.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
वॉल्यूम
$9,375समाप्ति तिथि
15 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily through mid-2026, reaching 6.4% in July amid stronger-than-expected job gains of 75,000 and rising labor force participation to 65.1%. Annual figures show 2025 at 6.91% versus a projected 6.61% for 2026, with monthly readings remaining below that level after an earlier peak near 6.9%. This trajectory, supported by Bank of Canada communications and improving employment data, underpins the 92.8% market-implied probability against 2026 marking the highest rate since 2016. Key upcoming catalysts include August labor data and potential U.S. tariff impacts that could introduce downside risks to growth and push the rate higher than currently implied.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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