Recent polling in the lead-up to Andalusia’s May 17 regional election projects VOX securing 14–17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, consistent with the market’s leading 16–18 and 13–15 outcomes. The People’s Party’s projected 54–58 seats place it near or above the 55-seat majority threshold under Juanma Moreno, reducing reliance on post-election coalitions and capping VOX’s negotiating leverage despite its focus on immigration and “Spaniards first” policies. Latest surveys from GAD3, Sigma Dos, and others show VOX vote share stabilizing near 13–15 percent, a modest increase from 2022 that aligns with slower regional momentum than earlier national expectations. Traders appear to weigh these trends alongside the short campaign window and limited late shifts in voter intention.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAndalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats
Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats
16-18 51%
13-15 24%
19-21 20%
22+ 9.9%
$7,357 Vol.
$7,357 Vol.
May 17, 2026
<13
6%
13-15
25%
16-18
44%
19-21
16%
22+
10%
16-18 51%
13-15 24%
19-21 20%
22+ 9.9%
$7,357 Vol.
$7,357 Vol.
May 17, 2026
<13
$801 Vol.
6%
13-15
$765 Vol.
25%
16-18
$1,053 Vol.
44%
19-21
$1,795 Vol.
16%
22+
$2,943 Vol.
10%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polling in the lead-up to Andalusia’s May 17 regional election projects VOX securing 14–17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, consistent with the market’s leading 16–18 and 13–15 outcomes. The People’s Party’s projected 54–58 seats place it near or above the 55-seat majority threshold under Juanma Moreno, reducing reliance on post-election coalitions and capping VOX’s negotiating leverage despite its focus on immigration and “Spaniards first” policies. Latest surveys from GAD3, Sigma Dos, and others show VOX vote share stabilizing near 13–15 percent, a modest increase from 2022 that aligns with slower regional momentum than earlier national expectations. Traders appear to weigh these trends alongside the short campaign window and limited late shifts in voter intention.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Volume
$7,357Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polling in the lead-up to Andalusia’s May 17 regional election projects VOX securing 14–17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, consistent with the market’s leading 16–18 and 13–15 outcomes. The People’s Party’s projected 54–58 seats place it near or above the 55-seat majority threshold under Juanma Moreno, reducing reliance on post-election coalitions and capping VOX’s negotiating leverage despite its focus on immigration and “Spaniards first” policies. Latest surveys from GAD3, Sigma Dos, and others show VOX vote share stabilizing near 13–15 percent, a modest increase from 2022 that aligns with slower regional momentum than earlier national expectations. Traders appear to weigh these trends alongside the short campaign window and limited late shifts in voter intention.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volume
$7,357Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the lead-up to Andalusia’s May 17 regional election projects VOX securing 14–17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, consistent with the market’s leading 16–18 and 13–15 outcomes. The People’s Party’s projected 54–58 seats place it near or above the 55-seat majority threshold under Juanma Moreno, reducing reliance on post-election coalitions and capping VOX’s negotiating leverage despite its focus on immigration and “Spaniards first” policies. Latest surveys from GAD3, Sigma Dos, and others show VOX vote share stabilizing near 13–15 percent, a modest increase from 2022 that aligns with slower regional momentum than earlier national expectations. Traders appear to weigh these trends alongside the short campaign window and limited late shifts in voter intention.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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