Trader sentiment on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity for the week of May 12-19, 2026, stays tightly clustered among the 120-139, 140-159, and 160-179 post ranges, each commanding 28-30% implied probability. This balance stems from his established posting rhythm, which responds directly to breaking political developments, legislative votes, and campaign-related announcements. Historical weekly volumes in comparable non-election periods have clustered in this band, with limited movement from isolated events. Any acceleration or slowdown will hinge on the intensity of domestic policy debates or international statements during the remaining resolution window, potentially shifting consensus toward one of the current leaders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
160-179 30%
120-139 28%
140-159 28%
180-199 14.2%
$84,649 Vol.
$84,649 Vol.
May 19, 2026
100-119
2%
120-139
28%
140-159
28%
160-179
30%
180-199
14%
200+
7%
160-179 30%
120-139 28%
140-159 28%
180-199 14.2%
$84,649 Vol.
$84,649 Vol.
May 19, 2026
100-119
$5,033 Vol.
2%
120-139
$4,707 Vol.
28%
140-159
$3,638 Vol.
28%
160-179
$4,192 Vol.
30%
180-199
$3,808 Vol.
14%
200+
$6,568 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity for the week of May 12-19, 2026, stays tightly clustered among the 120-139, 140-159, and 160-179 post ranges, each commanding 28-30% implied probability. This balance stems from his established posting rhythm, which responds directly to breaking political developments, legislative votes, and campaign-related announcements. Historical weekly volumes in comparable non-election periods have clustered in this band, with limited movement from isolated events. Any acceleration or slowdown will hinge on the intensity of domestic policy debates or international statements during the remaining resolution window, potentially shifting consensus toward one of the current leaders.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 9, 2026, 4:27 AM ET
Volume
$84,649Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 4:27 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity for the week of May 12-19, 2026, stays tightly clustered among the 120-139, 140-159, and 160-179 post ranges, each commanding 28-30% implied probability. This balance stems from his established posting rhythm, which responds directly to breaking political developments, legislative votes, and campaign-related announcements. Historical weekly volumes in comparable non-election periods have clustered in this band, with limited movement from isolated events. Any acceleration or slowdown will hinge on the intensity of domestic policy debates or international statements during the remaining resolution window, potentially shifting consensus toward one of the current leaders.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$84,649Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 4:27 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity for the week of May 12-19, 2026, stays tightly clustered among the 120-139, 140-159, and 160-179 post ranges, each commanding 28-30% implied probability. This balance stems from his established posting rhythm, which responds directly to breaking political developments, legislative votes, and campaign-related announcements. Historical weekly volumes in comparable non-election periods have clustered in this band, with limited movement from isolated events. Any acceleration or slowdown will hinge on the intensity of domestic policy debates or international statements during the remaining resolution window, potentially shifting consensus toward one of the current leaders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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